Re: Medicare Means Test

In article <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>,
Gretchen Evans  <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>On 15 Nov 2003 17:25:29 -0500, [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Herman
>Rubin) wrote:

>>In article <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>,
>>Gretchen Evans  <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>>>On Wed, 12 Nov 2003 23:41:46 -0700, "Founding Father" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>>>wrote:


                        ...............


>Boloney!!  Let me give you a personal scenario.  A couple of weeks ago
>my neighbor came to my door bleeding heavily after suffering a rather
>severe laceration to his hand while working in the garage. I placed a
>pressure bandage on the injury and drove him to the ER for the
>necessary treatment.  No 'prediction of the future' was necessary,
>only COMMON SENSE!  

What you call "common sense" is prediction of the future; if
you did not take that action, bad consequences would result.

When things get more complicated, and this can happen quite
easily when we become more knowledgeable, "common sense" can
be WRONG, because the later consequences of the action can 
be very bad.  
-- 
This address is for information only.  I do not claim that these views
are those of the Statistics Department or of Purdue University.
Herman Rubin, Department of Statistics, Purdue University
[EMAIL PROTECTED]         Phone: (765)494-6054   FAX: (765)494-0558