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[EMAIL PROTECTED] (LT Lee) wrote in message news:<[EMAIL PROTECTED]>... > Social Americans <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in message news:<[EMAIL PROTECTED]>... > > E. Barry Bruyea wrote: > > > > > On Thu, 27 Nov 2003 22:06:09 +0800, "Yamashita" > > > <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > > > > > > >>The US Dollar is on the verge of crashing. The expected windfall from the > > >>invasion of IRAQ did not materialise to give the Americans the psycclogical > > >>boost to their faltering economy. > > > > It is supposed to be a psychological boost for other countries around > > the world to buy, hold and use dollars. > > Not anymore. Add to that that the US economy is supposed to be turning up and the european one stagnant, yet people are still dumping the $. Now think how much more $ they'll dump when the situation reverses. Mark K. > > ----------------------- > Foreign Lenders Bolting? + Trading Notes > > By: Rick Ackerman, Market Wise Black Box > > How much longer will foreigners continue to support America's $1.5 > billion-a-day borrowing habit? Figures released by the Treasury > Department yesterday indicate they may already have turned off the > credit spigot. Net capital inflows into the U.S. plummeted from $50 > billion in August to $4.2 billion in September, implying that foreign > investors have recently begun to direct their surplus funds elsewhere. > Sales of Treasury bonds accounted for nearly $20 billion of the > slippage. While foreigners bought a net $25.1 billion of Treasurys in > August, their purchases in September netted out to just $5.6 billion. > The reversal was even more decisive in the mortgage markets, where > they sold a net $3.2 billion of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac paper after > buying $8.9 billion of it the previous month. > > > > Because the selling has been mostly from private accounts and hedge > funds rather than by central banks, it is unlikely the trend can be > reversed by mere political jawboning. It is global market forces at > work, after all, and the selling could intensify beyond remedy if > perceptions of the dollar should take a serious turn for the worse. > With the current-account deficit expected to reach $550 billion this > year, foreign credit has become essential to America's day-to-day > business. The trade deficit has burgeon steadily since the early > 1990s, but the offset of increased foreign lending has prevented it > from becoming a crucial problem. > > Recovery in Jeopardy > > Until now, that is; for, our dependency on foreign money to bridge the > gap between what Americans earn and what they spend has grown to the > point where even a relatively small shift out of dollar assets by > global investors could jolt financial markets badly enough to derail > the U.S. economy. Meanwhile, significant buying of U.S. assets by the > Japanese has long been an important prop for the dollar. Most > recently, the Japanese bought a net $20 billion worth of our bonds and > equities in September, impelled by the need to boost exports with an > undervalued yen. They are acting in self-interest, of course, but > their motive could take an ugly turn toward self-preservation if the > rest of the world should start dumping dollars. That is one reason why > I will continue to recommend gold assets, and to regard each and every > dip in the price of mining shares as an opportunity.
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