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"Immortalist" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in message news:[EMAIL PROTECTED] > When are we warranted to say that a generalization has been confirmed by its > instances? How are past observation and prediction of the future related? > > We are never warranted to say that a generalization has been confirmed by the observed instances, if by that we mean any more then the generalization accounts for all the known cases. In science we do make working hypotheses that all future cases will also conform, but scientists know that finding counter-cases will render the working hypothesis weak, requiring a new, modified, generalization. You're only as good as your last performance. Any relationship between past and future depends on assumptions about the consistency of 'nature' which are comforting but unprovable. Pragmatically, life goes better when you assume the future will be pretty much like the past; therefore, that's the working assumption. That could change, tomorrow it may be more useful to assume that trends never last, if that happens we humans will notice and try new assumptions. Go with what works; especially since what works is, in the end, an aesthetic judgement. It boils down to 'if it feels good, do it'. Ed
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