Re: SCIENTISTS WARN: "SUDDEN" CLIMATE CHANGE POSSIBLE

[EMAIL PROTECTED] (Economic Democracy) wrote in message news:<[EMAIL PROTECTED]>...
> [This only made page 11 (!!) of the Washington Post!]
> 
> Sciences report has concluded that greenhouse gases and other
> pollutants could trigger large, abrupt and potentially disastrous
> climate changes.c

Read the last four words.  The whole article has this tone, but those
four words reveal it all.   The generic reader of the Washington Post
has, over the last few decades, seen and read an untold number of
reports promising all sorts of abrupt, large, disastrous COULD HAPPENs
that never happen.

A recollection of a story about crying "wolf" repeatedly crosses my
mind...

Now, while you and I are likely satisfied with the accuracy of the
report and the science behind it, it doesn't change the fact that the
scientific community has miniscule credibility when it comes to
predicting large scale things happening fast.

And of course, there is the other problem, the REAL problem that makes
policy people ignore these things.  No one in the scientific community
can belly up to the table and say IF you make reduction ABC, these
consequences WILL NOT happen.  They don't do it, because in all
honesty, they can't prove that their suggested proposals will stop the
effect.    We all know what is causing global warming, on the other
hand, no one can prove that it can now be halted.  I tend to be one of
those that believes the effect has already passed the point of being
self-propagating.  Take all the human contribution out, and I'd bet
good money that the effect would only marginally slow.   Granted, its
a meaningless bet, but it expresses my point well enough.