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"Arnold Wolfcastle" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in message news:[EMAIL PROTECTED] > http://washingtontimes.com/world/20031124-110833-1781r.htm > > Czech President Vaclav Klaus said Europeans are living in a "dream > world" of welfare and long vacations and have yet to realize "they are > not moving toward some sort of nirvana." > The Czech Republic is a candidate for European Union membership, > but Mr. Klaus, who was elected president in February, made clear in an > interview his distaste for the organization. > However, he conceded during a visit to Washington last week that > "the political unification of Europe" is now in "an accelerated > process ... in all aspects and in all respects." > Mr. Klaus said the movement toward a single political entity of 25 > European nations "will not change until people start thinking and > realizing they are not moving toward some sort of nirvana." > The Czech president remains convinced that "you cannot have > democratic accountability in anything bigger than a nation state." > > Muslims crawling all over Europe are about to give the Euros a rude > awakening and the endless German urlab (vaction) is about to end. Maybe he read the article in The Economist http://www.economist.com/finance/displayStory.cfm?story_id=2227506 "In the long run we are all broke Nov 20th 2003 >From The Economist print edition How to stop governments going bust INVESTORS have good reason to worry about states defaulting on their loans: Argentina and Russia provide chastening recent reminders. But both were dysfunctional economies with troubled political pasts. Surely, there is no need to worry about the indebtedness of the governments of stable, advanced countries? Maybe not, but take a look all the same at the table below. Most countries' explicit net debt-issued as bonds and traded every day in financial markets-is at manageable levels, relative to GDP. However, embodied in current tax and expenditure policies are a lot of obligations for which governments have not yet had to make explicit provision. This implicit liability arises mainly from future increases in spending on pensions and health care. Include it, and total debt vaults to levels last seen (for explicit debt) in wartime. Governments often fall into bad habits when their debts are so high, usually by resorting to the printing press and using inflation to cut the real value of their liabilities. Credit-rating agencies are alerting their clients to the danger. Standard & Poor's gave warning last year that many European governments will be relegated to the second division of borrowers if they do not tackle spending commitments that are set to soar as populations age. So far, however, investors do not appear to be charging higher risk premiums on explicit debt-the sanction that would most concentrate the minds of finance ministers. Yet the long-term budgetary risks are real and looming ever closer, says Peter Heller, deputy director of fiscal affairs at the International Monetary Fund, in a thought-provoking new book*. These risks arise not only from the effects of an ageing population on pension and health-care bills, but also potentially from medical technology, global warming, security and globalisation. Irrespective of ageing, advances in medical technology are likely to push up public spending on health care: the more medical science and public health services can provide, the more people will want. Climate change may increase the incidence of floods, storms and droughts-"extreme weather events"-after which governments often step in as insurers of last resort. Some governments are already under pressure to spend more on defence: the "peace dividend" made possible by the end of the cold war is exhausted. And globalisation may limit governments' ability to exploit their national tax bases as both capital and labour become increasingly footloose. There may be some pleasant surprises to set against this catalogue of doom. .............[more in original article]". Darren.
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