Re: Japanese papers reveal huge quake

In article <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>,
 "George" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> "Skywise" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in message
> news:[EMAIL PROTECTED]

[... snippage ...]

> > I have the impression that if the whole thing went most
> > of Western North America would know it. Almost makes the
> > San Andreas sound like a ride in the park.

> 
> Except, of course, no one has done an assessment of the potential for the
> San Andreas to go all at once, or what would be the effects of such
> movements.  Of course, current theory says it won't go all at once.  But who
> really knows?  No one has yet gotten a single quake in California correct.

Since there is no measureable strain accumulating along the creeping 
section of the San Andreas, the chance of the whole thing going appears 
negligible. The largest known events, Fort Tejon (1857) and San 
Francisco (1906) are probably pretty close to the largest events 
possible.