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Tue, Nov. 18, 2003 Dollar Falls to All-Time Low Against Euro Associated Press NEW YORK - The dollar fell to an all-time low against the euro Tuesday in a broad-based selloff of the U.S. currency. Traders said the reasons behind the euro's surge of nearly 2 cents on the day ranged from concerns about trade and geopolitics to investment outflows. "It's difficult to put a finger on the precise news behind" the sharp move lower in the dollar, said Kenneth Agostino, senior dealer at Gain Capital in New Jersey. "There's an overall nervousness about holding U.S. assets." After a lazy, rangebound session overnight, the selling began in earnest following news that the Bush administration has granted U.S. industry requests to impose temporary quotas on some imports of Chinese textiles. That fed into growing concerns that the U.S. is edging closer to low-intensity trade wars with its major trading partners, over not just textiles but also steel tariffs and currency manipulation. "In general, intervention in trade flows is a backdoor devaluation," said Ram Bhagavatula, chief economist for North America at Royal Bank of Scotland in New York. "It's an implicit admission that the currency should be weaker." Perhaps more importantly, the Treasury Department released data showing a big pullback in foreign investment in Treasurys, agency debt and equities in September. The slowdown in net inflows to $4.2 billion [down from $49.9 billion in August TB] has major implications for the dollar, because it comes at a time when the ballooning U.S. trade deficit requires an increasing amount of financing from abroad to keep the dollar from falling.
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