Grand Prix Final Ladies - who will make it?

With only one competition left for the women, who do you think will make it
to the finals?  Here are my predictions (actually more of a wish list) based
on the ISU standings and possible outcomes at NHK.  Let me know if I've made
any egregious errors.

Women

Cohen - 24
Arakawa - 18
Liashenko - 12 + NHK
Kirk - 9 + NHK
Onda - 9 +NHK
Suguri - 7 + NHK
Ota - 5 + NHK
Sebesteyn - 14

Wish list finish for NHK:

Ota - 12 (Yeah, I'm a fan)
Suguri - 9
Kirk - 7
Liashenko - 5

For a Grand Prix Final consisting of:

Cohen - 24
Arakawa - 18
Ota - 17
Liashenko - 17
Suguri - 16
Kirk - 16

There are quite a few possibilities for the outcome of NHK, especially with
ties between Sebesteyn with 14 points, and Suguri, Onda and Ota possibly
coming out with 14 also.  What do you think most likely?

Naomi