Re: new sleeper candidate for 2004

> Now a look a head to next year.
> Which 21  stay on the elite 30 list?
>
> LaDanian Tomlinson
> Jamal Lewis
> Ahman Green
> Priest Holmes
> Clinton Portis
> Torry Holt
> Ranyd Moss
> Terrell Owens
> Marvin Harrison
> Ricky Williams
> Duece McCallister
> Micheal Bennett

Don't know if he makes the top 30 if he ends up splitting carries with moe
williams again next year.  That kills his value.


> Hines Ward
> Shaun Alexander
> Peyton Manning
> Daunte Culpepper
> Steve McNair
> Stephen Davis
> Edge James
> Tony Gonzales
>
> leaving 9 guys off the elite 30 list or barely making it.... that group
> includes
>

> Marshall Faulk

Faulk will be top 30 next year

> Joe Horn
> Eric Moulds

Agreed these guys are borderline top 30 if the season ends today.


> Cory Dillion

Dillion will be top 30 as long as he is starting and not splitting carries.

> RIch Gannon

Gone

> Donovan Mcnabb

Depends how he finishes the season, will probably be top 30 since most
leagues value rushing yards more than passing yards.

> Mike VIck

Will go on potential alone, in the top 30.

> Tiki Barber

I don't know that Tiki will start next year.  I don't know what the giants
solution at RB will be, but tiki is fumbling way too much.

> Travis Henry

If he ends up starting somewhere, and not splitting carries he will go in
the top 30.  If he doesn't and McGahee starts and doesn't split carries, I
would expect Mcgahee to go top 30 just on potential alone.


I have 4-5 guys who will still be elite out of your list...


> Who are top 15 candidates to be picked in the 3rd round next year and move
> into the elite.
>
> The guru gives you his insight
>
> The Following are ones to watch next draft:
>
> Matt Hasselbeck

Maybe, but he is too streaky

> Trent Green

See above, if I'm picking a fantasy QB, I want a rushing QB I can take high,
or a sure thing I can take in the middle to late rounds.

> Santana Moss

So-So, he's been on fire since Pennington has been in.  He might sneak into
the top 30 if he finishs this season as strong as he has been since Penny
has been throwing to him.  He did nothing when Vinny was throwing to him.
I'm not sure what that says about him or Vinny.

> Chad Johnson

Agreed, he's top 30

> Anquan Boldin

I don't think he will make it in, barring a big finish.

> Brian Westbrook

No

> Laveranues Coles

He might sneak in, depends on how he finishes.  Playing alongside Gardner
actually decreases his value a bit.  I think he has the potential to put up
top WR numbers, he just hasn't yet.  He might not as long as Gardner is on
the other side of him

> Rudi Johnson

If he starts and doesn't split carries in Cincy he is a top 30 player.

> Darrell Jackson

Borderline, I doubt he will go top 30

> Reggie Wayne

No

> others who may move into the elite are
> TJ Duckett

If Duckett wins the full time Job in Atlanta, maybe.  He needs to show a lot
now that Dunn is out.

> Anthony Thomas

No way, unless he puts on one hell of a display in the last few games.

> Petter Warrwick

Not top 30

> Keenan McCardell

> Steve Smith

Makes it in.

> Marcel Shipp

He doesn't score TD's, I don't think he makes it in.

> Domanick Davis

He gets in the top 30, as long as Mack isn't stealing his goal line carries.


> Chad Pennington

Doesn't make it in because he isn't the prototype fantasy QB, and typically
a lot of QB's don't go in the first 30 picks.  That said, I think Chad will
put up around 4000 yards next season if healthy.

I'm basing my picks on yahoo league settings, where running is worth more
than passing.