Re: ESPN Headlines - Big Trade

The Only Mosey ([EMAIL PROTECTED]) writes:
> On 27 Nov 2003 04:31:21 GMT Corby Gilmore opened up that worthless piehole and
> remarked:
> 
>>  I couldnt disagree with you gentlemen more. This trade represents a
>>salary dump for the Marlins, i.e. deja vu all over again; talent-wise, it
>>is a huge, huge DOWNgrade for Florida. acquiring Derrek Lee for Hee Sop Choi
>>and a PTBNL is a major steal for the Cubs, not the Marlins!!!
> 
> So, can we take bets on that? For Lee to be a "major steal" (ignoring the PTBNL)
> he'd have to out perform Choi, what, 20% plus some salary?
> 
> Lee did that this year but, Choi likely had his low watermark season and it is
> pretty clear Lee has peaked/plateaued. Even when you consider Lee is going from
> a high pitchers park, 25% seems like a lot of give.
> 
> Derris Lee's upside is Derrek Lee. Choi's upside is Jim Thome. 

  The same lofty expectations that you put on Hee Sop Choi were also put
forth on Lyle Overbay and Carlos Pena. It hasnt happened yet for either of
those gentlemen either. Lee was .271/.508/.379 last season in Florida with
31 homers and 92 rbis. I would expect that .280/.560/.425 is not an
unreasonable expectation for his first season in Wrigley. I would not
expect Choi to do this in Florida especially since he will be backing up
Jeff Conine, not starting.

   Your argument is a lot like saying that the Schilling trade is a steal for
Arizona because Casey Fossum's upside is Randy Johnson. Obviously, I dont
believe that of Casey Fossum; I dont agree with your expectations for Hee
Sop Choi, either.
--
                                           Corby Gilmore
                                           [EMAIL PROTECTED]