Re: Warren Spahn RIP: Last of 360 game winners?

In <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> [EMAIL PROTECTED] (rerics) writes:

>It would be cool, and Maddux, whose consistency is reminiscent of
>Spahn's, would be worthy of 364 wins.  Winning 20 games for 4 more
>years would be tough considering he's only done it twice, and with
>just 20 wins (no more).  If 75 wins are needed, then 5 years of 15
>(which he's done, what, 16 straight years now?) is certainly possible.

While I'd love to see Maddux do this, unfortunately he
has shown some signs of decline the past couple of years--notably
his K rate has dropped sharply. For more than 10 years it had been
pretty consistently 6-7 per 9 innings, and the last two seasons it's down 
to about 5.  Spahn's K rate (which interestingly was never very high)
didn't begin to drop off till he was 40.  He did manage to have 3 good
seasons at ages 40-42.  Maddux has had one good and one mediocre season.
Also, he only pitches 6-7 innings per start, making it hard to get 20 Ws.
I'm guessing he has one or at most two seasons left in him, 15-30 wins. 
-- 
Jim 
New York, NY
(Please remove "nospam." to get my e-mail address)
http://www.panix.com/~kahn