Re: this sounds like a whine I know.....

az-willie wrote:

> Over a range of matches, if FIBS is truly random, everyone's luck factor
> should equal 0 ( zero ).

You need to be careful with this. Luck should average to 0
only if you weight the matches appropriately. I believe you
should weight your luck rate by the number of your rolls.

It's like tossing a fair coin, computing the percentage of
the tosses that are heads. If you decide to stop after the
first head comes up, then you will get 100% half of the
time, 50% 1/4 of the time, 33% 1/8 of the time etc. So,
if you average by match, you would find too many heads.
You need to weight the short matches less.

Douglas Zare