Re: Under?

[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

> [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
>
> > > [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote, OCT 29:
> > >
> > > rzik wrote:
> > >
> > > > Do you by any chance have the stats for  2nd half totals in Denver last
> > > > year?  Games stayed under at a huge rate at the site.
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > By my count, at it's "peak" last year
> > > the trend was 16-3 UNDER after they
> > > played Portland, January 10...then it
> > > went SOUTH -- right at the time MANY
> > > had taken notice of the trend and first
> > > began betting into it (as so often happens
> > > when a trend becomes apparent/public)
> > >
> > > After January 10, by my *tracking/lines,
> > > it went only 3-4-1 (unders) by February 20,
> > > before LOSING 5 straight!!! By which point,
> > > any rational person would've concluded the
> > > trend had likely run it's course and it was
> > > time to bail, having gone 3-9-1 since Jan.10...
> > >
> > > Then, with the vast majority having bailed
> > > it finished on a winning note, 7-2 under, for
> > > a gross of 26-14-1, although that's misleading
> > > since similar to the defunct MNF angle,
> > > the trend toward UNDERS from the first half
> > > of the season *CEASED* and went the other way
> > > for the second half of the season.
> > >
> > > I would expect the books to be clued in
> > > and 2nd half unders will be at lines of
> > > far less value than early last season...
> > > Doesn't mean it WON'T go under, just that
> > > the lines are likely to have compensated.
> > >
> > > *mileage will vary based on books/lines available
> >
> >
> >
> > This season, the DENVER 2nd half (home) UNDERS
> > have now gone just 3-4...
> > This brings the "trend on the trend" to 13-15-1
> > since reaching it's peak last season (Jan 10)
>
> And with the 106 pts scored in the 2nd half at the Pepsi Center
> Friday night, the much ballyhooed "2nd half UNDER" trend
> now drops to 13-16-1 since reaching it's peak last season (Jan 10)
   With the 102 pts scored in the 2nd half at the Pepsi Center
Tuesday, DEC 2, the vaunted Denver Nuggets "2nd half UNDER" trend
now drops to 13-17-1 since reaching it's peak last season (Jan 10)