Re: Canada 649 to cost $2 to play

CDEX <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in message
news:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> A couple of refs to the Canada 6/49:
>
> - - -
>
> Ingrid wrote:
>
> > Just wondering if Lotto 649 is in the process of changing the ticket
> > price from $1 to $2 or that it will happen in May 2004.
> >
> > It means the jackpot will go up, but the odds will remain the same.
> > Guess we might have to cut our lines in half and/or look harder for a
> > good maximized wheel.
> >
> > More profits for the rich whilst keeping us in the poor house, it seems.
> >
> > <sigh>
> >
> > Ingrid
>
> - - -
>
> Richard McTavish wrote:
> > CBC news reports Canada 649 tickets to cost $2
> > Is it going to be like Super 7, where you get to choose 1 line, & they
> > give you 2 computer-generated lines ? or $2 for 1 line ?
> > I can see fewer people playing week-to-week for the smaller jackpots,
> > but they will make a killing on the bonus jackpot draws ($10 million +).
> >
> > They must have researched this thoroughly, and figure they will make
> > more money.
>
> - - -
>
> They're giving you 3 plays for $2, but they're taking away your ability to
> control your cost while making even coverage of the numbers at a given
prize
> level.  Wheels won't work.
>
> It has nothing to do with 'prediction.'.  When you wheel every
combination,
> you know how you're spacing your wins over time.  You can plan your budget
> according to how much you should retain from your expenses.  You know the
> odds, so you know the three variables:   cost,  time,  wins.
>
> When you put your numbers in a good wheel you fill in the holes (gaps) in
a
> subset, like the 3-matches.  You play at a fairly controlled loss until
you
> win a big prize.  During that time, you lose money but within bounds you
> know that a planned portion of your money will come back to you on a
fairly
> steady basis over time.  In other words, you manage your playing cost and
> you know your average playing expense.  You control your net playing cost.
> It's offset by steady wins that are based on the balanced coverage in the
> wheel.
>
> With the random picks they are going to give you, you get an extra play
but
> you lose that control over your budget.  You can see it either way:  as a
> "free" pick, or as an extra cost that you could spend more effectively if
> you were given the option to do so.
>
> In effect, you are getting two Quick Picks for one more $1.00 of play.  If
> you had control, you would get 20 more planned 3-matches in a Pick-6
> combination of your own choosing.  With the Quick Pick, you don't know
where
> those 20 3-matches will fall.
>
> In the long run, it's probably OK so long as they don't change the basic
> 3-match prize (fixed at $10.00) or blow away the 4-match prize (less money
> on the parimutuel).  It's probably a little bit better for payouts,
overall.
>
> On the other hand if they can allow 3 plays for $2.00, then why not let
the
> player supply his own 3 lines for those 3 plays?   Wheeling would ensure
> there's no gaps in the coverage of lower prizes, which lets the player
> better handle the cash income/outgo over the course of a few months in the
> playing budget.  With the automatic Quick Picks, there's no way of knowing
> the cost over the next few months.
>
> This also makes it more difficult for software users who want to manage
> their play closely through wheeling and filtering.  Getting random
> combinations poked into the middle of wheeled ones is anathema to PC
users,
> who expect "precision" on their screens.
>
> Still, the Canada games are light years ahead of the USA games as far as
> cost/payback is concerned.
>
> Joe
>
>
>


heres a plan to make it cost them.

buy a ticket with 1 line you want, if the random pick doesnt match your
desired wheel. get the ticket deleted and buy another 1.

repeat till you are happy with the randdom pick.

may take a while but im sure all the agents will get pretty pissed off quite
soon