Re: China to buy Eurofighters?

In article <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>,
 "Adrian" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

> "Scott Ferrin" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in message

> > In my opinion selling them top of the line stuff is the height of
> > stupidity.  It doesn't take a brain surgeon to figure out what the
> > situation is going to be with China and the West in ten to fifteen
> > years.
> 
> Please explain. I see no conflict coming.

China has a lot of "issues" of the type that usually leads to war in one 
way or another. 

They're on the edge of running out of oil, and don't have a strong 
enough economy in most other respects to let them buy enough for their 
near-future needs.  There are, however, areas in their vicinity (Siberia 
and Malaysia for example) that have oil.

They have population imbalance problems, with far too many young men 
(due to their terrible laws about family size).

The Chinese government, despite the perceptions of some, is fairly 
nasty, and the Taiwan situation alone could make things go very bad, 
very fast.

It wouldn't take much for a single event to push China over the edge.  A 
major earthquake at the Three Gorges Dam after it's filled up, for 
example.  In one stroke, they would lose much of their future electrical 
generation *and* a lot of their crops and industrial production for a 
year or two.

-- 
cirby at cfl.rr.com

Remember: Objects in rearview mirror may be hallucinations.
Slam on brakes accordingly.