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"Alex" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: >Sent To newsgroups: >uk.media.radio.bbc-world-service,uk.media.radio.bbc-r5,misc.health.aids > >On their Talking Point programme, the director of the WHO/UNAIDS, >dr. Peter Piot, flat out DECEIVED when he stated the following in this BBC >Worldservice show (in their transcript of the 1st hour): >http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/talking_point/3248715.stm and also here, >http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/talking_point/3276893.stm#1 > > >>From the Talking Point radio programme: > >" Robin Lustig: >Peter Piot there are people, aren't there, who worry that, for example, >tuberculosis, which can often be a manifestation of HIV infection but >isn't necessary so and that can muddle up the figures sometimes. > >Peter Piot: >Well it's true that there are - it's possible to have a so-called false positive >test but it's extremely rare. Also in these surveys that I just talked about in >Africa the same scientific standards are being applied, initial positive tests >are being verified with other tests. I really think that that's not the problem. " > >----------------------- > >Now let ME become a good journalist, and supply the refutation of >Piot's OUT AND OUT FALLACIES. From three, independent and unassailable >sources. > >Fallacy one. > >"SO-CALLED FALSE POSITIVE TESTS, BUT IT'S EXTREMELY RARE." > >Well obviously Peter Piot, director of WHO/UNAIDS is not even familiar >with his own organisation's data. Because in a population with a low >occurrence of HIV infection, false positives are THE NORM. > >1) The WHO ITSELF. > >http://www.who.int/bct/Main_areas_of_work/BTS/HIV_Diagnostics/ >Evaluation_reports/Operational%20Characteristics_HIV%20Report9_10.pdf > >" When a single screening assay is used for testing in a population >with a very low prevalence of HN infection, the probability that >a person is infected when a positive test result is obtained (i.e., >the positive predictive value) is very low, since the majority of >people with positive results are not infected. " > >I will repeat for the slow of understanding that in low prevalence >populations using one elisa, "THE MAJORITY OF PEOPLE >WITH POSITIVE RESULTS ARE NOT INFECTED". > >2) The Paul Ehrlich Institute for tropical medicine in Munich. > >http://www.pei.de/themen/hivdiasa.htm#stoer > >To quote: "Diese unspezifischen Reaktionen werden durch die >Bestätigungs-Testung fast immer als falsch-positiv erkannt. " > >In translation: "These unspecific reactions are almost always >recognized as false positive by confirmatory tests." > >3) HIV Screening in a Military Blood Transfusion Centers >This is Italian data from the general population (blood donors). >http://www.certi.org/CMA/newsletter/v03n01.pdf > >Table II > >Number of dontations: 25,562 >Number of blood donations ELISA positive: 31 >Number of blood donations after confirmation test: 2 > >This means that of 25,562 people tested with a single ELISA, >31 tested positive, and after further testing, only 2 *remained* >positive. >This means that in the field, ELISA had a ppv (positive predictive >value) of 2/31 or 6.45%. > > > >Fallacy two, testing standards for Africa. > >"IN THESE SURVEYS THAT I JUST TALKED ABOUT >IN AFRICA THE SAME SCIENTIFIC STANDARDS ARE >BEING APPLIED, INITIAL POSITIVE TESTS ARE BEING >VERIFIED WITH OTHER TESTS." - PIOT > >Wow. That makes my job really easy, because he said SURVEYS, >not just diagnosis of individual patients in well-off clinics. > > >1) The WHO > >http://www.who.int/bct/Main_areas_of_work/BTS/HIV_Diagnostics/ >Evaluation_reports/Operational%20Characteristics_HIV%20Report9_10.pdf > >In countries with an assumed prevalence of greater than 10% >(South Africa), the WHO recommends using "strategy I" for >survey purposes (see table A at page 7). > >Strategy I means (page 8): "Strategy I All serum/plasma is tested with >one ELISA or simple/rapid assay. Serum that is reactive is considered >HIV antibody positive. Serum that is non-reactive is considered >HIV antibody negative." > >So that is: one elisa, no confirmation at all, not even with a second elisa >(that would be strategy II). Also, the very existence of strategies >I, II and III means the same scientific standard IS NOT BEING >APPLIED everywhere, unlike Peter Piot stated above. > >2) THE SOUTH AFRICAN DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH > >>From this paper/report: >http://www.doh.gov.za/docs/reports/2000/hivreport.html#methodology > >" The laboratory >co-ordinators ensured the effective running of the Enzyme Linked >Immunosorbent Assay (ELISA) used for HIV testing and Rapid Plasma >Reagin (RPR) tests for syphilis. Using the bar-code label on each >data-capture sheet, the results for each test were filled-in and the >data capture sheet sent back to the provincial co-ordinator for data >entry. " > >No mention whatsoever of confirmation tests of positive >results before the results are sent off to the provincial co-ordinator. >No mention of Western Blot as a confirmation test. > > > > >---------- > >How long is the BBC going to keep criticism of the HIV/AIDS theory >and the massive figures the WHO throws around off the air? >What happened to the traditional evenhandedness that was supposed >to be the BBC hallmark? > >Alex >concatenated > ----== Posted via Usenet.Com - Unlimited-Uncensored-Secure Usenet News==---- http://www.Usenet.com The #1 Newsgroup Service in the World! >100,000 Newsgroups ---= 19 East/West-Coast Specialized Servers - Total Privacy via Encryption =---
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