
www.Usenet.com
| <-- __Chronological__ --> | <-- __Thread__ --> |
post-autistic economics review
Issue no. 22, 24 November 2003 back
issues at <http://www.paecon.net>www.paecon.net
Subscribers: 6,605 in approximately 145 countries
Subscriptions are free. To subscribe, email "subscribe". To
unsubscribe, email "unsubscribe". To subscribe
a colleague, email" subscribe colleague" and give their email
address. Send to:
<mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>[EMAIL PROTECTED]
In this issue:
- Herman E. Daly
The Illth of Nations and the Fecklessness of
Policy: An Ecological Economist's
Perspective
- Kyle Siler
The Social and Intellectual Organization and
Construction of Economics
- Jacques Sapir
Seven Theses for a Theory of Realist Economics
Part II: Theses Five to Seven
- Richard D. Wolff
The Critique of Economic Policy
- Kepa M. Ormazabal
Neo-classical Economics Is Not "Neo", but
"Anti"-classical
- Antonio Garrido
Joan Robinson and the Post-Autistic Economics Movement
The Illth of Nations and the Fecklessness of Policy:
An Ecological Economist's Perspective
Herman E. Daly (School of Public Policy, University of Maryland, USA)
Our traditional economic problems (poverty, overpopulation,
unemployment, unjust distribution) have all been thought to have a
common solution, namely an increase in wealth. All problems are
easier if we are richer. The way to get richer has been thought to be
by economic growth, usually as measured by GDP. I do not here
question the first proposition that richer is better than poorer,
other things equal. But I do question whether what we persuasively
label "economic growth" is any longer making us richer. I suggest
that physical throughput growth is at the present margin and in the
aggregate increasing illth faster than wealth, thus making us poorer
rather than richer. Consequently our traditional economic problems
become more difficult with further growth. The correlation between
throughput growth and GDP growth is sufficiently strong historically
so that in the absence of countervailing policies even GDP growth
frequently increases illth faster than wealth.
What we conventionally call "economic growth" in the sense of "growth
of the economy" has ironically become "uneconomic growth" in the
literal sense of growth that increases costs by more than it
increases benefits. I am thinking here of the North rather than the
South, because in many poor countries where the majority lives close
to subsistence the benefits of production growth, even if badly
distributed, justify incurring large costs. But since the South is
striving with encouragement from the IMF and World Bank to become
like the North, I am not really neglecting the South by focusing on
the North.
One will surely ask how do I know that growth has become uneconomic
for many Northern countries? Some empirical evidence is referenced
below.1 But more convincing to me is the simple argument that as
the scale of the human subsystem (the economy) expands relative to
the fixed dimensions of the containing and sustaining ecosystem, we
necessarily encroach upon that system and must pay the opportunity
cost of lost ecosystem services as we enjoy the extra benefit of
increased human scale. As rational beings we presumably satisfy our
most pressing wants first, so that each increase in scale yields a
diminishing marginal benefit. Likewise, we presumably would sequence
our takeovers of the ecosystem so as to sacrifice first the least
important natural services. Obviously we have not yet begun to do
this because we are just now recognizing that natural services are
scarce. But let me credit us with capacity to learn. Even so, that
means that increasing marginal costs and decreasing marginal benefits
of expanded human scale will accompany increasing human scale. The
optimum scale, from the human perspective, occurs when marginal cost
equals marginal benefit. Beyond that point growth becomes uneconomic
in the literal sense of costing more than it is worth.
It is interesting to know empirically if we have reached that point
(I think we have in many countries), but even if we have not, it is
obvious that continued growth of a dependent subsystem relative to a
finite sustaining total system will inevitably reach such an optimal
scale. If we add to the limit of finitude of the total system the
additional limits of entropy and complexity of ecological
interdependence, then it is clear that the optimal scale will be
encountered sooner rather than later. Additionally, if we expand our
anthropocentric view of the optimum scale to a more biocentric view,
by which I mean one that attributes not only instrumental but also
intrinsic value to other species, then it is clear that the scale of
the human presence will be further limited by the duty to reserve a
place in the sun for other species, even beyond what they "pay for"
in terms of their instrumental value to us. And of course the whole
idea of "sustainability" is that the optimal scale should exist for a
very long time, not just a few generations. Clearly a sustainable
scale will be smaller than an unsustainable scale. For all these
reasons I think that for policy purposes we do not need exact
empirical measures of the optimal scale. If one jumps from an
airplane it may be nice to have an altimeter, but what one really
needs is a parachute.
So what policies constitute a parachute? Briefly, they are policies
that limit aggregate throughput, the metabolic flow beginning with
depletion and ending with pollution, by which we and our economy
live. Although market cannot itself set that aggregate limit, it can
allocate the limited throughput - assuming the market is competitive
and confined to some limited degree of inequality in the distribution
of wealth and income. Such policy instruments are evolving now, e.g.,
cap-and-trade systems for extraction rights, pollution emission
rights, fishing rights, etc. Also ecological tax reform limits
throughput by making it more expensive. It shifts the tax base from
value added (something we want more of) on to "that to which value is
added", namely the throughput (something we want less of). In
differing ways each of the above "parachutes" would limit throughput
and expansion of the scale of the economy into the ecosystem, and
also provide public revenue. I will not discuss their relative
merits, having to do with price versus quantity interventions in the
market, but rather emphasize the advantage that both have over the
currently favored strategy. The currently favored strategy might be
called "efficiency first" in distinction to the "frugality first"
principle embodied in both of the throughput-limiting mechanisms
mentioned above.2
"Efficiency first" sounds good, especially when referred to as
"win-win" strategies or more picturesquely as "picking the
low-hanging fruit". But the problem of "efficiency first" is with
what comes second. An improvement in efficiency by itself is
equivalent to having a larger supply of the factor whose efficiency
increased. The price of that factor will decline. More uses for the
now cheaper factor will be found. We will end up consuming more of
the resource than before, albeit more efficiently. Scale continues to
grow. This is sometimes called the "Jevons effect". A policy of
"frugality first", however, induces efficiency as a secondary
consequence; "efficiency first" does not induce frugality--it makes
frugality less necessary, nor does it give rise to a scarcity rent
that can be captured and redistributed.
So far I have briefly outlined what I take to be the problem of the
"illth of nations" (apologies to both Adam Smith and John Ruskin),
and indicated some policy guidelines for avoiding the uneconomic
growth that increases illth faster than wealth. I probably do not
need to tell readers of post-autistic economics that these views do
not find favor with mainstream neoclassical economists. The concepts
of throughput, of entropy, and even of optimal scale of the
macroeconomy are foreign to them. The last is especially odd since in
microeconomics the concept of the optimal scale of each micro
activity is central. Yet the sum of all micro activities, the macro
economy, is not thought to have an optimal scale relative to its
sustaining ecosystem. Probably this is because macroeconomists think
of the macroeconomy as the Whole, not as a Part of some larger Whole.
For them nature is not a containing envelope, but just a sector of
the macroeconomy - mines, wells, croplands, pastures, and fisheries.
When the Whole grows it expands into the Void encroaching on nothing
and incurring no opportunity cost. But of course the real economy is
a Part and it grows not into the Void, but into the rest of the
ecosystem, and really does incur opportunity costs. I have long
considered this Whole versus Part difference to reflect different
preanalytic visions (Schumpeter) or different paradigms (Khun).
Different preanalytic visions cannot, of course, be reconciled by
further analysis. I still believe this is fundamental.
Recently, however, my experiences of teaching in a policy school and
of dealing with ecologists and biologists as well as economists, has
led me to see an additional problem at the level of policy in
general. In other words, even if we could agree on the right
preanalytic vision of the basic way the world works, would we then be
able to enact and follow effective policies, such as the "parachutes"
briefly discussed? So far, our capacity to enact policies of
"frugality first" seems very weak. Indeed, even "efficiency first"
policies are not easy to enact. So let us turn our attention to the
question of policy in general, and policy fecklessness in particular.
What are the presuppositions we must make before we can reasonably
and seriously discuss policy--policy of any kind? There are two that
I can see.
First we must believe that there are real alternatives among which to
choose. If there are no alternatives, if everything is determined,
then it hardly makes sense to discuss policy--what will be will be.
No options, no responsibility, no need to think.
Second, even if there were real alternatives, policy dialogue would
still make no sense unless there was a real criterion of value by
which to choose from among the alternatives. Unless we can
distinguish better from worse states of the world then it makes no
sense to try to achieve one state of the world rather than another.
No value criterion, no responsibility, no need to think.
In sum, serious policy must presuppose: (1) non-determinism-- that
the world is not totally determined, that there is an element of
freedom which offers us real alternatives; and (2) non-nihilism--
that there is a real criterion of value to guide our choices, however
vaguely we may perceive it.
To be sure, not every conceivable alternative is a real alternative.
Many things really are impossible. But the number of viable
possibilities permitted by physical law and past history is seldom
reduced to only one. Through our choices, value and purpose lure the
physical world in one direction rather than the other. Purpose is
independently causative in the world.
This seems pretty obvious to common sense--so what is the point of
stating the obvious? The point is that many members of the
intelligentsia deny one or both presuppositions, and yet want to
engage in a policy dialogue. I don't mean that we disagree on exactly
what our alternatives are in a particular instance, or about just
what our value criterion implies for a concrete case. That is part of
the reasonable policy dialogue. I mean that determinists who deny the
effective existence of alternatives, and nihilists or relativists who
deny the existence of value beyond the level of subjective personal
tastes, have no right to engage in policy dialogue--and yet they do!
This is my cordial invitation to them to remember, and to reflect
deeply upon their option of remaining silent--at least about policy.
Who are these people? In the sciences I am thinking about the
hard-line neodarwinists and sociobiologists; in the humanities, the
post-modern deconstructionists; and in the social sciences, the
evolutionary psychologists, and those economists who reduce value to
subjective individual tastes any one of which is as good as another.
No one can in practice live by the creed of determinism or nihilism.
In this sense no one takes them seriously, so we tend to discount any
effect on policy of these doctrines. We tend to dismiss them as
academic posturings. However, we halfway suspect that the many
learned people who publicly proclaim these views might be right--and
that is enough to enfeeble policy. For example, many people tell me
that globalization is inevitable; any attempt to counter global
economic integration is futile. If I manage to convince them that it
might not be inevitable, the next line of defense is, how do we know
that globalization will be any worse than the alternative? We cannot
tell, we don't really know that it won't be good for us (because we
don't know what is good in the first place), so there is no point in
opposing it. Either it is inevitable, or if not then we can have no
reason to believe that any alternative would be better. Forget
policy, go back to sleep.
Perhaps I can clarify my point by distinguishing four categories
based on acceptance or non-acceptance of each of the two
presuppositions identified.
(1) Perennial wisdom (e.g. Judeo-Christianity in the West) - there
exist real alternatives from which to choose by reference to
objective criteria of value.
(2) Criterionless choice-- alternatives are real options, but there
is no objective criterion for choosing among them. (Existentialist
angst)
(3) Providential determinism--there are no real options, but there is
an objective criterion of value by which to choose, if only we had a
choice. Fortunately providence has chosen for us according to the
objective criterion, which we would not be wise or good enough to
have followed on our own. (Theological predestination; technological
providentialism)
(4) Criterionless determinism--there are no real alternatives to
choose from, and even if there were, there is no objective criterion
of value by which to choose. All is mechanism - random variation and
natural selection, as claimed by the hard-line neodarwinists.
People engaged in policy, yet holding to positions (2), (3), or (4)
are in the grip of a severe and debilitating inconsistency. Their
participation in policy dialogue should be subject to the injunction
of "estoppel"--a legal restraint to prevent witnesses from
contradicting their own testimony.3 It should be applied in
academia as well as in the courtroom!
To summarize: Avoiding the uneconomic growth that is increasing the
illth of nations will require clear and forceful policy. All policy,
especially such a radical one, requires a belief in both objective
value and real alternatives. The fact that many people engaged in
discussing and making policy reject one or both of these
presuppositions is, in Alfred North Whitehead's term, "the lurking
inconsistency", a contradiction at the basis of the modern worldview
which enfeebles thought and renders action feckless. If we even
halfway believe that purpose is an illusion foisted on us by our
genes to somehow make us more efficient at procreation, or that one
state of the world is, for all we can tell, as good as another, then
it is hard to get serious about real issues. Whitehead noted,
"Scientists animated by the purpose of proving that they are
purposeless constitute an interesting subject for study". He went on
to say that, "It is not popular to dwell on the absolute
contradiction here involved".
I think, 75 years later, that it is high time we dwelt on this
absolute contradiction. We pay a price for ignoring
contradictions--in this case the price is feebleness of purpose and
half-heartedness in policy. Citizens really must affirm that the
world offers more than one possibility to choose from, and that some
choices really are better than others. Determinists and nihilists
have a right to exist, but an obligation to remain silent on policy.
If hard-line, neodarwinist, deterministic materialists refuse to be
silent, then they should be invited to explain why the survival value
of such neodarwinism is not negative for the species that really
believes it!
Notes
1. For critical discussion and the latest revision of the ISEW, see,
Clifford W. Cobb and John B. Cobb, Jr., et al., The Green National
Product, University Press of America, New York, 1994. For a
presentation of the ISEW see Appendix of For the Common Good, H. Daly
and J. Cobb, Boston: Beacon Press, 1989; second edition 1994. See
also Clifford W. Cobb, et al., "If the GDP is Up, Why is America
Down?, Atlantic Monthly, October, 1995. See also Manfred Max-Neef,
Economic Growth and Quality of Life: A Threshold Hypothesis,
Ecological Economics, 15, (1995), pp. 115-118. See also,Clive
Hamilton, Growth Fetish, Allen and Unwin, 2003, NSW Australia.
2. By "frugality" I mean "non-wasteful sufficiency", rather than
"meager scantiness".
3. estoppel = a bar or impediment preventing a party from asserting a
fact or claim inconsistent with a position that the party previously
took, either by conduct or words, esp. where a representation has
been relied or acted upon by others. (Random House Dictionary of the
English Language)
______________________________
SUGGESTED CITATION:
Herman E. Daly, "The Illth of Nations and the Fecklessness of Policy:
An Ecological Economist's Perspective", post-autistic economics
review, issue no. 22, 24 November 2003, article 1,
<http://www.btinternet.com/~pae_news/review/issue22.htm>http://www.btinternet.com/~pae_news/review/issue22.htm
The Social and Intellectual Organization and Construction
of Economics*
Kyle Siler (Department of Sociology, McMaster University, Canada)
Most of the articles published in the Post-Autistic Economics Review
focus on challenging and/or refuting mainstream economic theory. This
tacitly serves as a means of precipitating further thought about
economics, and in most cases, also functions as a means of promoting
change in the discipline. However, as evidenced by history, be it the
notion that the Earth revolves around the Sun, the double-helix model
of DNA, or the hegemony of mainstream neoclassical economics today,
merely having innovative, or possibly better ideas, does not
necessarily equate with the ability to establish immediate scientific
and societal acceptance of those ideas, or "truth." Hence, changing
economics will be a "social" process, in addition to being a
"scientific" process. Or, as per Stephen Cole's (1992) work,
economics, like any "science", is comprised of both
socially-constructed and "scientific" components. The Post-Autistic
Economics Review has, and will continue to deal with the latter
extensively. I propose to introduce the former to its readership.
My account of the social construction of economics is largely derived
from British sociologist Richard Whitley's (1984) seminal work, The
Social and Intellectual Organization of the Sciences. The crux of
Whitley's argument is that, in addition to what they study
empirically, scientific fields are shaped and affected by the degrees
and types of mutual dependence and task uncertainty they possess. The
next two sections will explain how these characteristics exist and
function in mainstream neoclassical economics.
Mutual Dependence
Whitley (p. 88) broadly defined mutual dependence as "
the need to
adhere to particular standards of competence and criteria of
significance in order to reward important reputations for
contributions." More specifically, mutual dependence is comprised of
two analytically distinct agents: functional and strategic
dependence. Economics has high functional dependence, as economists
generally have to adhere to a dominant neoclassical strategic
paradigm to be taken seriously. Conversely, it also has low strategic
dependence, as due to this consensus, economists generally spend
little time arguing over theoretical issues. Hence, most debates
about theoretical issues outside of the dominant orthodoxy usually
occur outside of mainstream economic forums (such as is the case with
the Post-Autistic Economics Review).
Whitley (p. 31) also adds that "intellectual fields must have
distinctive work procedures if they are to function as reputational
work organizations." These distinctive work procedures set the
context for self-conscious and self-regulating colleague groups being
based "on their power to validate the expertise, and thus mediate the
careers of, members (p. 20)." The arcane and esoteric mathematical
nature of neoclassical economics is a powerful context, contributing
to a very strong, unified organizational discipline, thus influencing
both the profession and "science" of economics. Mathematics is not
only an effective means of creating scholarly hierarchies, but also
makes economic work difficult to comment on (at least in the
mainstream economists' domain and language) for non-mathematical
economists. This places control over the discipline largely into the
hands of the most advanced mathematical economists, while insulating
and empowering the discipline as a whole. Social and cultural norms
which value abstractness, theoretical complexity, esoteric science
and quantification also help make economics trusted, well-supported
and respected.
As mutual dependence (which is the basis for much of economics' power
and prestige) increases, local and individual circumstances tend to
become irrelevant. Hence, it is not surprising that economics tends
to privilege abstract thought, shunning context and historically
dependent work. There are a number of factors that are indicative of
the high mutual dependence in economics. These include:
The existence of a relatively small, concentrated, theoretical
disciplinary core of economists.
Shunning of cross-disciplinary and heterodox thought.
Agreed upon hierarchies of competence and knowledge.
Insulation from the "lay public" and most other academics.
The existence of a "Nobel Prize", which serves to galvanize the
discipline, and confer significant prestige upon economics as a whole
in public perception, and upon the winning economists, who tend to
further perpetuate the prevailing orthodoxy.
It is difficult to ascertain whether these characteristics are causes
and/or effects of high mutual dependence (or each other). Regardless,
this complex interweaving of social characteristics is a strong
factor helping create, insulate and empower mainstream economics.
Economics and Task Uncertainty
The social sciences are generally characterized by a greater degree
of task uncertainty than most of the natural sciences. Laboratory
controls and manipulation of research subjects are generally not
viable options in social science research. Economists cannot
manipulate the behavior of governments, firms and actors in various
contexts in order to test and re-test hypotheses about economies.1
Whitley (p. 120) observes that "
the more paradigm-bound a field is,
the more predictable, visible and replicable are research results,
and the more limited is permissible novelty." Hence, the degree of
task uncertainty in a field is influenced by a socially constructed
component, via the social organization of a given discipline, apart
from empirical, data-based, or "scientific" considerations.
Whitley (ch. 4) identifies three major contextual factors that
influence task uncertainty:
Reputational Autonomy This alludes to the degree to which a given
field can adjudicate standards of quality and worthiness without
influences from other interests. Mainstream economics is empowered
with a very high degree of reputational autonomy. As an example of
this, while the government and the lay public are generally unwilling
(or unable) to engage in dialogue with academic economists on their
own terms, they are willing to be "amateur" sociologists on such
issues as inequality and culture. Further, while some social science
departments are prone to being subsumed by "topical" or
"interdisciplinary" studies in universities, economists are generally
immune. In addition, when economists do participate in
interdisciplinary work (i.e. for the government), they usually do so
"on their terms", and are consequently more of a "consultant" than
"collaborator."
Concentration over the means of intellectual production and
dissemination Economics has relatively high concentration in
journals, paradigmatic thought, prestige and universities. This is in
part a result of (or contributor to) its aforementioned high
reputational autonomy. As an example of the degree of concentration
of intellectual production in the United States, Pieper and Willis
(1999: 86) show that 54% of economics faculty at doctoral
universities, and more than two-thirds of the thesis supervisors at
the 47 top-ranked programs in the United States come from one of the
"top ten" schools. These "top ten" schools include Chicago, Harvard,
Stanford, and MIT; among the strongest purveyors of highly
mathematical neoclassical economics. As Devine (2001) observed, the
more famous the university, journal or student, the more likely they
are to adhere to the rigid positivism of neoclassical economics. The
degree of control these schools have over economic education is well
evidenced by a report done by, the Commission on Graduate Education
in Economics in the United States, which concluded that "the content
and structure of graduate programs is amazingly similar" (Hansen,
1991: p. 1085).
Audience Plurality and Diversity Economics has relatively low
audience plurality and diversity, largely due to the practice of
conducting esoteric, mathematical research published in academic
journals kept largely away from public scrutiny. Economists seldom
write books, and if they are written in a publicly accessible
fashion, they are often derided as "lacking rigor", or as mere
"Galbraithism." Further, academic economics is also "shielded" by the
fact that most public "economic" debate occurs outside of the
academic sphere, far removed from the behavioral assumptions and
arcane analyses couched in powerful academic economics journals, and
textbooks. This will be discussed further shortly.
All of the above serve to "socially" reduce mainstream economics'
(perceived) task uncertainty, despite the fact that it operates in
the complex, contextual realms of the human sciences. This apparent
contradiction will be explored in the next section.
Economics as a Partitioned Bureaucracy
Economics is extremely unusual in academia in that it combines the
high technical task uncertainty of the social sciences, with very low
strategic task uncertainty. Whitley (181) states that this mix should
be highly unstable unless the central core of conceptual orthodoxy is
partitioned away from empirical sources of uncertainty. Hence,
privileging theoretical data (informed by the "central core"), at the
expense of empirical considerations is a necessary condition for
maintaining strategic consensus in the discipline. Mainstream
economics does exactly that. As in many facets of economics, there is
a clear hierarchy (made possibly by high mutual dependence) of
sub-fields in economics, with the more theoretical endeavors enjoying
epistemological, and organizational superiority. This occurs both
within and outside of economics. Within economics, econometrics,
labor, and health economics, and other relatively "applied" work
remains subordinated to, and to a certain extent, derivative of the
dominant paradigm, couched in the theoretical core of the discipline.
Doing "applied", or socially relevant work is acceptable to
mainstream economists, provided you adhere to the dominant
neoclassical paradigm (i.e. Gary Becker). Outside of economics, much
"applied" or context-dependent work is actually done in
business/finance or other social science departments in universities,
and by businesses and governments outside of academia. In the case of
business and finance departments using economic theory, there appears
to be somewhat of a symbiotic relationship, where business schools
use neoclassical economics for a methodological and moral
legitimation, while economics gets insulated from empirical concerns
and uncertainty that could undermine their strategic consensus, and
call the dominant orthodoxy into question. This symbiotic
relationship also may help contribute to maintaining (if not
reinforcing) the "bourgeois" focus of mainstream economics, which
tends to trumpet the virtues of capitalism far more than it
criticizes the economic, social and moral shortcomings it may possess.
Concluding Thoughts
John Kenneth Galbraith (1984: 3) remarked that the shortcomings of
contemporary economics are not necessarily due to original error, but
"uncorrected obsolescence." Given the intricate tapestry of social,
empirical, and organizational factors buttressing mainstream
economics today, it is no wonder that the neoclassical paradigm is
not evolving with the times or evidence. While the Post-Autistic
Economics Review illustrates many of the excellent thoughts and
debates that, at the very least, challenge the dominant economic
paradigm, merely being "right" scientifically and morally, is not
sufficient to significantly modify a discipline, especially one as
powerful and entrenched as economics. Not only does Whitley's model
help explain why mainstream economics is so powerful (in addition to
factors extraneous to his model, such as bourgeois ties and values),
but also how it can remain so in the face of inconsistent empirical
evidence. Although I cannot profess to know the best strategy for
reforming economics, knowledge of the social construction of
"science" and "economics" should be a vital part of constructing any
such strategy. As opposition to mainstream economics burgeons, it
should be kept in mind by such dissenting groups that scientific
change is not entirely a "scientific" endeavor. This could aid the
construction of strategy for social and scientific change, both in
academic and lived realms, as the two are inexorably linked.
Notes
* The author thanks Neil McLaughlin for support and suggestions on
earlier drafts of this project.
1. This limitation also characterizes the natural sciences to varying
degrees, especially biology.
References
Cole, Stephen. Making Science: Between Nature and Society. Cambridge:
Harvard University Press, 1992.
Devine, James G. "Psychological Autism, Institutional Autism and
Economics". Post-Autistic Economics Review. Issue no. 16, September
16, 2002, article 2.
<http://www.btinternet.com/~paenews/review/issue16.htm>http://www.btinternet.com/~paenews/review/issue16.htm
Galbraith, John Kenneth. The Affluent Society. 4th ed., Boston:
Houghton Mifflin, 1984.
Hansen, W.L. The education and training of economics doctorates:
Major Findings of the American Economics Association commission on
graduate education in economics. Journal of Economic Literature,
1991, 31, 3, pp. 1054-87.
Pieper, Paul J. and Willis, Rachel A. "The Doctoral Origins of
Economics Faculty and the Education of New Economics Doctorates".
Journal of Economic Education. Winter 1999, pp. 80-89.
Whitley, Richard. The Social and Intellectual Organization of the
Sciences. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1984.
_________________________
SUGGESTED CITATION:
Kyle Siler, "The Social and Intellectual Organization and
Construction of Economics", post-autistic economics review, issue no.
22, 24 November 2003, article 3,
<http://www.btinternet.com/~pae_news/review/issue22.htm>http://www.btinternet.com/~pae_news/review/issue22.htm
Seven Theses for a Theory of Realist Economics
Jacques Sapir (L'Icole des Hautes Itudes en Sciences Sociales, Paris)
In Part I, which appeared in the last issue, Jacques Sapir argued
that post-autistic or realist economics needs to develop a coherent
research program. To this end he proposed to offer seven theoretical
theses and introduced the first four.
Thesis 1: The central issue in economics is the co-ordination of
decisions and interactions generated by decentralised, heterogeneous
and interdependent agents whose decision-making abilities are
constrained by limited cognitive capacities.
Thesis 2: If money is a necessity in an uncertain world, money also
introduces a specific form of uncertainty, casting doubts on the
market's ability to efficiently process information.
Thesis 3: Time and money are at the very heart of the interchange
between the individual and collective levels.
Thesis 4: Any attempt to negate the theoretical status of time and
money leads to non-scientific assumptions and transforms the
economist himself into a producer of ideology.
Part II: Theses Five to Seven
Thesis 5: To regard money as the one central institution in a market
economy fails to break free from the neo-classical framework.
Emphasizing only money could be as theoretically misleading as
ignoring money.
It is clear that understanding money's relevance is a cornerstone of
economic theory. Yet this position can evolve into a mistaken one no
less dangerous than the neo-classical denial of money's relevance:
monetary essentialism. It is the path taken by two French authors
with whom otherwise I generally agree, Michel Aglietta and Andri
Orlian, the latter a well-known and long-standing PAE contributor.
Because they claim to have developed a workable alternative to the
money denial strategy favoured by neo-classical and some Marxist
authors alike34, an alternative giving monetary policy and Central
Bank independence a strong legitimacy, monetary essentialism is worth
serious investigation. As a matter of fact, if one could demonstrate
that money is as pivotal as monetary essentialism pretends it is,
then one would have a pretty good argument for asserting the
superiority of monetary authorities over political ones.
Monetary essentialism moves beyond acknowledging money relevance
against the neo-classical cum monetarist tradition to the point of
proclaiming money the central, pivotal, market economy institution35.
It acknowledges the fact there is a deeply entrenched violence in
monetary relations which cannot be reduced to just an allocative
process. Monetary essentialism is innovative in its aim of linking
economics to anthropology and it is grounded on what Aglietta and
Orlean call the Fundamental Girardian Theorem from the French
catholic philosopher and anthropologist Reni Girard36.
Years ago Girard developed an anthropological theory of violence that
he opposes to one emphasizing the social roots of conflicts. His
theory is grounded on the genesis of violence erupting from an
undifferentiated mob driven by a demand for wealth. This word
resonates in the economist's ears. However in Girard's works wealth
is an all-encompassing notion running from material goods and money
to social status and parental love. Because it is such a global, all
encompassing notion, it makes it possible to conceive of a universe
of one-dimensional choices where "wealth" is the measure of
everything. This conception resembles the neoclassical concept of
price which is supposed to carry all needed information. In a
Girardian world an economist would be, to paraphrase Oscar Wild, a
cynic who knows the wealth of everything and the value of nothing. In
this universe of one-dimensional choices, individual preference
transitivity could then be logically demonstrated and the
neoclassical theory of preference and rationality given a new
rationale. One could then forget that in the real world, and
specifically when money is at stake, it has been demonstrated that
violations of transitivity are systematic37.
It is, however, perfectly clear that the Girardian genesis of
violence is no less unrealistic and anti-social than the Robinson
Crusoe metaphor that Austrian marginalists were so fond of. All the
perfumes of Girardian wealth could not sweeten the neo-classical
price. Aglietta and Orlian run into a serious contradiction.
Admirably they profess their willingness to break with the
neo-classical logic. However as they pretend to reject the view of a
fully determined world - a position I completely share with them -
they fall into another fallacy, the one of pretending that there are
no so central rules but money. To do so they have to stick with
violence as understood by Reni Girard38. Then they have to pretend
that there is no stable social relation between agents, that they are
un-socialised social actors39. This is one dimension of the
neoclassical fallacy. The so-called Fundamental Girardian Theorem is
supposed to say that unanimity could be the result of a spontaneous
convergence, hence the undifferentiated demand for wealth could give
birth to a global social agreement. However Orlian remarks with some
ingenuity that if we introduce one differentiation level in the
primitive wealth-driven population then unanimity is no longer a
spontaneous result40. Change here unanimity for equilibrium and you
would have an exact restatement of the Grossman-Stiglitz paradox41.
The Girardian Theorem's sensitiveness to heterogeneity is another
proof that it is a next of a kin to the neo-classical equilibrium and
Girardian wealth to Walrasian price. Anyone here cruel enough into
introduce in the picture the endowment effect and the framing effect
would lead the Girardian Theorem to its self-destruction and monetary
essentialism to its methodological collapse.
What is problematical with monetary essentialism is not its emphasis
on violence or its attempt to link economics to anthropology. The
problem lies with the anti-social anthropology that it mobilises, a
theory leading not to a definitive break with neo-classical orthodoxy
but to the reverse, a return toward typical neoclassical
simplifications and methodological unrealism.
Thesis 6: The idea that there is one pivotal institution for a market
economy is devoid of meaning. Institutions cannot be assessed in
isolation. What matter are institutional systems or precisely
defined hierarchical clusters of institutions.
If money cannot be seen as the central institution of a market
economy, then maybe property rights could be seen as an
alternative42. After all, without property rights it is difficult to
understand market transactions. However when one discusses property
rights it is frequently private property which is at stake. But, as
explained years ago by Richard Nelson, private property does not work
as an operational concept enabling us to delineate differences
between forms of social organisation43. To oppose private to
collective ownership is to run quickly into an interesting, if
frequently forgotten, paradox.
If property rights are to be defined inside a society, then we have
more than one economic agent to think about. Hence, what agent (a) is
doing could affect in an unintentional way the wealth and position of
agent (b). The latter could sue the former who then would think twice
before doing anything if the penalty were significant by comparison
to the expected result form his own action. This is nothing more than
a restatement of the Shackle Paradox, explaining that decentralised
decision-making gives birth to uncertainty and that uncertainty could
prevent decentralised agents from making decisions44. To prevent
unintentional effects from paralysing the whole social life, every
society has developed a different set of rules for actually
constraining our individual freedom to use and abuse our properties.
Rules, without which no individual action is possible in a society,
are nothing less than collective property rights. Hence, individual
property rights can't exist without collective ones. And if to avoid
this problem we attempt to define individual property rights from the
Robinson Crusoe metaphor, then we define something that does not
exist. Before the landing of Friday, Robinson, alone on his island,
owns everything that is nothing. Property rights here have no meaning.
Private and collective property rights can't be opposed and are
actually closely integrated. But, if we have to think about
collective ownership to understand private ownership then it is
mandatory to think about the way human collectivities are organised.
Political issues (how legitimacy and legality interact) matter then
as much as property rights. They cannot be substituted for money as
the pivotal market economy institution, and I hope that this
discussion had made a case against the whole idea of defining any
"pivotal" institution.
Let us now return to the problem of money. We have to reckon with
the fact that barter trade can exist simultaneously with money,
meaning that there is more to be considered than just the fact that
money is a more effective and rational transaction medium than
barter45. The development of barter trade in Russia from 1993 to
1998, a period when inflation was actually decelerating (barter was
at its highest point early 1998 when inflation was down to 12% a
year), raises an important theoretical issue. The use of money
receded not because the value of money was disappearing as happens
during a hyperinflation crisis (remember Weimar and the wheelbarrows
full of banknotes) but because institutions, without which money
cannot be used, were missing46. The development of barter trade in
Russia was the result of a lack of financial institutions, the result
of the liberal monetary policy implemented from October 1993
onwards47. It was also the result of a lack of trust48 resulting from
the weakening of State institutions through the particular
privatisation process then implemented by Anatolyi Chubays and his US
crony advisers49. Money, as an institution, needs both technical
institutions (mostly in the finance sector) and political ones to
support it and make it effective. In turn, after the August 1998
crash, barter receded not because of any hard monetary policy
(actually inflation rose) but because Primakov's government worked
hard to rebuild state legitimacy and institutions50.
Money can be relevant when two specific freedoms or rights can be
found in any transaction: the freedom to engage in a transaction with
whom one wants and the freedom to engage when one wants. Both these
freedoms do not exist for every possible transaction. Sometimes
technical constraints drastically reduce the first one, so that
vertical integration, that is the substitution of a hierarchy for a
market, is then the logical evolution. And social constraints can
reduce both the first and the second freedoms. In any case, these
freedoms or rights imply a whole set of institutions which, in turn,
defines the place and form money can take at a given time in a given
market economy.
The central issue is then not the functionality of a single
institution but how institutions in a given set can be mutually
supportive. In the end it is the coherence level achieved by the
institutional system that is the analytical key of statistical
stabilities and medium-term trends. When money is at stake, it is the
coherence (or the lack of) between managing institutions (central
bank, financial markets, banking system, international financial
institutions) and related ones (public regulations, labour-management
relations, balance of property rights between individual and
collective ownership, institutional forms of the social protection
system, regulation of human, material and financial trans-border
flows) which really matters. The coherence issue, be it static or
dynamic, is then the central one for realist economics.
Thesis 7: The embededness of any institutional system in a given
territory, itself a social and historical construction, is an
omission of mainstream economics that is hidden behind the denial of
time and money relevance.
Time and money have led us to institutions. Not just the usual
discussion about institution functionality but to the understanding
that an institution cannot be considered in isolation. Institutional
systems, coherent and hierarchal sets of institutions, are the main
issue. Rejecting the functionalist fallacy about institutions means
also rejecting any functionalist understanding of the birth of
institutions51. The Hayekian view of spontaneous selection raises
many methodological and theoretical problems. Among them the two most
vexing are:
(a) the Hayekian selection process introduces a methodological
holism dimension into an otherwise individualist theory (institutions
are selected through groups) and
(b) that without assuming temporal monotony of individual
preferences it is impossible to prove that selection has not been
accidental unless one assumes a stationary universe.
Up to now the only realist theory of institution generation has been
Frangois Guizot's. Social conflicts of opposing human groups have
been the historical process of institutional development and
selection52. The dynamic of these conflicts develops in the space of
sovereignty, which is then shaped by the development of conflicts.
Such a process makes the distinction between rules and the principles
on which rules are founded a pervasive necessity.
Social density implies the necessity of rules, as individual agents
are unable to forecast all possible unintentional effects of their
own actions. This makes then unable to write complete and perfect
contracts. Contract incompleteness and imperfection make rules a
necessity. Institutions generate rules but individual institutions
are incomplete as shown above. To make institutional systems work in
a coherent way, rules of a greater magnitude are needed. They are
laws as produced by political institutions. But the human agent's
inability to write complete and perfect contracts applies here too.
It is then to be expected that laws are to be contested even if the
process under which they have been produced has respected its own
rules. Hence, the rule of Law is not enough or we have to prove that
the concerned human community is perfectly homogeneous and composed
only of people driven by the best set of sentiments possible53. The
emphasis put on the rule of Law, as in the British and American
mainstream tradition, reveals a deep negation of the heterogeneity
principle54.
The legality of the process does not confer to a law the legitimacy
it needs. Legitimacy proceeds from principles, which characterises a
political community which, historically, is territorially defined. In
turn one can see how the neo-classical view of a perfect information
world is congruent to an understanding of institutions reduced to
their functionality and to the negation of the legitimacy principle
for the sake of making the rule of Law the one and only one
benchmark55.
If we agree to the fact that economics is not a natural science, and
to the contrary that economic processes are embedded in social and
historical construction, then the institution building process is as
much political as it is economic. It cannot be understood separately
from links between a given territory and a political community. Even
in the globalisation age, Nation-State matters. It matters when it
exists as well as when, weakened by decades of neoliberal policies,
it is no more able to play its part. The difference between the way
Malaysia rode the financial storm in 1998 when Indonesia sank is not
just a difference between a wise and an unwise economic policy. The
Malaysian state was still functional whereas the Indonesian one had
been dramatically weakened. Malaysian economic and political elites
were then in a position to resist the IMF policy and implement
effective decisions (like the currency control) when Indonesian
elites were so fragmented and deprived of legitimacy that they had to
abide by IMF prescriptions with their usually catastrophic results56.
If institutional systems cannot be understood in a dynamic way
without including in the picture the way space has been shaped by
centuries of social and political processes and conflicts, economics
has no meaning but the one of political economy. This political
economy needs to seriously address the Nation-State issue as well as
the fact that every Nation-State is not fully homogeneous and that
institutional differentiation can be found inside their own
perimeter. Institutional differentiation inside a given Nation-State
can explain why regional competitiveness is frequently different and
why some regions develop faster than others do at a given time. In
turn this can be understood only on the basis of acknowledging the
social dimension of any institution, including given sets of markets.
The development of an effective market economy ("effective" and not
"efficient" because out of the neo-classical theoretical frame this
word is devoid of meaning) always is the result of a given social
process. Markets are socially constructed objects57. The development
of regional sciences is then a logical and necessary addition to a
comprehensive research program for realist economics58.
Notes
34. M. Aglietta et A. Orlian, La Violence de la monnaie, PUF, Paris,
1982; Idem, La Monnaie entre violence et confiance, Odile Jacob,
Paris, 2002. Both authors explicitely state their theory is not just
a refutation of neo-classical assumptions but also of the Marxian
Theory of Value.
35. M. Aglietta et A. Orlian, La Monnaie entre violence et confiance,
op.cit., p. 81.
36. A. Orlian, "Monnaie et spiculation mimitique" in P. Dumouchel
(ed.), Violence et viriti autour de Reni Girard, Paris, Grasset,
1978, pp. 147-158.
37. L. Ausubel, "The Failure of Competition in the Credit-Card
Market", in American Economic Review, vol. 81, n01/1991, pp. 50-81
38. M. Aglietta, "L'institution de base des sociitis marchandes" in
Alternatives Iconomiques, n057, 2003, p. 32.
39. A. Orlian, "Monnaie et spiculation mimitique", op.cit., p. 148.
40. A. Orlian, "Monnaie et spiculation mimitique", p.151 and 152.
41. S.J. Grossman et J.E. Stiglitz "On the Impossibility of
Informationally Efficient Markets" op.cit..
42. O. Hart et J. Moore, "Property Rights and the Theory of the
Firm", in Journal of Political Economy, vol. 98, n06, 1990; E.G.
Furobtn et S. Pejovich, "Property Rights and Economic Theory: a
Survey of Recent litterature", in Journal of Economic Litterature,
vol. 10, 1972, n04.
43. R.R. Nelson, "Assessing Private Enterprise: An Exegesis of
Tangled Doctrine", in Bell Journal of Economics, Vol. 12, n01/1981,
printemps, pp. 93-111.
44. G.L.S. Shackle, Decision, Order and Time in Human Affairs,
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1969.
45. This opinion has been developed in A. Alchian, "Why Money?", in
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, vol. IX, n01/1977, pp. 133-140.
For the opposite view and a discussion of the simultaneous presence
of both money and barter, J. Sapir, "Le troc et le paradoxe de la
monnaie" in Journal des Anthropologues, n090-91, dicember 2002, pp.
283-304.
46. D. Woodruff, Money Unmade: Barter and the fate of Russian
Capitalism, Cornell University Press, Cornell, 1999.
47. J. Sapir, "A l'ipreuve des faits...Bilan des politiques
macroiconomiques mises en oeuvre en Russie", in Revue d'itudes
comparatives est-ouest, vol.30, n02-3/1999, pp 153-213.
48. D. Marin, "Trust Vs. Illusion: what is driving demonetization in
Russia?", Discussion paper Series, n02570, CEPR, Londres, september
2000.
49. J. Sapir, "La crise financihre russe comme rivilateur des
carences de la transition libirale" in Dioghne, n0194, April-June
2001, pp. 119-132.
50. J. Sapir, "Russian crash of August 1998: Diagnosis and
prescriptions", Post-Soviet Affairs (ex-Soviet Economy), Vol. 15,
n0 1/2000, pp. 1-36.
51. On the functionalist fallacy, see Stiglitz's Nobel Lecture, J.E.
Stiglitz, "Information and the Change in the Paradigm in Economics",
in American Economic Review, vol. 92, n03, juin 2002, pp. 460-501.
52. F. Guizot, Histoire de la civilisation en France depuis la chute
de l'Empire Romain, Didier, Paris, 1869. 7th lesson, 1828.
53. This argument has been well demonstrated by Carl Schmitt.
Although one may reject his conclusion and be disgusted by his
political positions between 1920 and 1945, he certainly is a founding
father for a realist understanding of paradoxes of a democratic
society. See C. Schmitt, Legalitdt und Legitimitdt, Duncker &
Humblot, Berlin 1932 (there is one French translation of this book as
Ligaliti et Ligitimiti but, to the best of my knowledge, none in
English); Idem, The Crisis of Parliamentary Democracy, MIT Press,
Cambridge, Mass., 1985 (1926).
54. See C. Mouffe, "Carl Schmitt and the Paradox of Liberal
Democracy" in C. Mouffe (ed.), The Challenge of Carl Schmitt, Verso,
London & New York, 1999, pp. 38-53.
55. J. Sapir, Les iconomistes contre la dimocratie, Albin Michel, Paris, 2002.
56. For a good discussion about the Asian crisis and different
responses put by different governments, R. Wade, "The Coming Fight
Over Capital Controls" in Foreign Policy, vol. 113, hiver 1998-1999,
pp. 41-54; R. S. Rajan, "Sands in Wheels of International Finance:
Revisiting the Debate in Light of the East Asian Mayem", Institute of
Policy Studies working paper, Singapour, Avril 1999 and B.J. Cohen,
"Contrtle des capitaux : pourquoi les gouvernements hisitent-ils ?",
in Revue iconomique, vol. 52, n02/mars 2001, pp. 207-232.
57. A. Bagnasco & C. Trigilia, La construzione sociale del mercato.
Studi sullo sviluppo di picola imprese in Italia, Il Mulino, Bologna,
1988.
58. G. Benko & M. Dunford, (eds.), Industrial Change and Regional
Development, Pinter/Belhaven Press, London, 1991. G. Benko & U.
Strohmayer (eds.), Space and Social Theory, Blackwell, Oxford, 1997.
G. Benko, La Science Rigionale, PUF, Paris, 1998.
______________________________
SUGGESTED CITATION:
Jacques Sapir, "Seven Theses for a Realist Economics; Part II: Theses
Five to Seven", post-autistic economics review, issue no. 22, 24
November 2003, article 3,
<http://www.btinternet.com/~pae_news/review/issue22.htm>http://www.btinternet.com/~pae_news/review/issue22.htm
The Critique of Economic Policy
Richard D. Wolff (University of Massachusetts, Amherst, USA)
Now more than ever, the watchword in economics is "policy."
"Decision-makers" demand - and sometimes pay well for - "the
appropriate policy" to solve those economic problems that strike them
as important. Economists interested in "practical relevance" respond
by "applying" their theories to supply such a policy. What goes
unquestioned is the plausibility of "policy" itself. Yet, the very
notion of policy is questionable. This analysis seeks to show that
"policies" are now fashionable disguises for partisan ideologies.
While the victims of policies have long suspected this, I propose to
validate their suspicions in logical terms.
The Absurdity of Policy
A policy is an action proposed as a means to solve a problem. For
example, for many private and public decision-makers, the US
economy's decline (since its stock market bubble burst in 2000) is a
problem. They demand solutions from economists. Predictably,
economists propose mixes of more or less conventional monetary and
fiscal policies. The Bush regime chooses to reduce interest rates,
increase money supply, cut taxes, and so on. In classic fashion, it
identifies a problem and implements the appropriate policy.
Very particular and partisan presumptions underlie such exercises in
economic policy. First, proponents of policies presume that the
problems presented to them have a few "key" (or "essential" or
"determinant") causes. Second, they presume these key causes to have
been "found" by economists and hence to be "known". Policies are then
simply the negations or reversals of these key causes. Having found
that economic decline is determined by high interest rates, the
appropriate policy is to lower them. If decline was found to follow
from high taxes, policy lowers them, and so on.
However, why make such restrictive presumptions? It is much more
reasonable to presume that many, many causes combine to produce any
economic problem. For example, American economic decline since early
2000 has been shaped by all manner of political, cultural, and
economic causes. These include - but are hardly limited to - shifts
in consumers' sentiments about saving for retirement; personal,
corporate and government debt; workers' productivity and attitudes
toward work; capitalists' expectations about competition, market
expansion, and union organizing campaigns; bankers' risk assessments
of domestic and foreign loans; foreign currencies being pegged to the
US dollar; federal and state regulators' attitudes toward accounting
standards, pollution control, and auditing of corporate tax returns;
pentagon arms procurements; Chinese exports' unit-labor costs; young
Americans' expenditures on housing; consumers' vacation plans;
changing production technologies; the effects of pre-emptive foreign
wars; the invention of new commodities; and union strategies for
bargaining and organizing. Economic decline likely results from an
infinity of interacting causes.
That decline, in both its qualitative and quantitative dimensions,
results from the interaction of all the causes. Indeed, the causes
are so complexly intertwined and interdependent that it is impossible
to abstract one or a few causes from the totality of causes and
attribute effects (e.g., economic decline) to those few alone. To do
so presumes that the effectivity of the selected one or few selected
causes could somehow be disentangled from and comparatively ranked
above all other causes. Nothing logically warrants this presumption,
notwithstanding the desire to produce policy for those who demand and
pay.
Econometricians glimpse a parallel problem of unwarranted
presumptions. That glimpse underlies the cautionary argument found at
the beginning of most econometric texts: that one cannot logically
infer causality from correlation. Econometricians often forget that
cautionary argument. They imagine (mistake) themselves to be
ferreting out causal linkages in their correlation studies. In
parallel fashion, policy economists imagine (mistake) the few causes
their work focuses on for being the few key causes of whatever
problem their policy aims to solve.
Nor is this logical error avoided if economists accept that the
causes for any economic problem are infinite in number and variety,
but then proceed to presume that a very few among them - those chosen
as "the policy tools" - are "the most important causes." To know
which are the "most important" - or "key" - requires comparing them
to all the other possibly effective causes. Since the latter are of
immense number, that comparison cannot be done. It has never been
done. Whatever basis economists may claim for selecting the
particular causes that their policies stress, the actual basis for
that selection simply cannot be that they or anyone else "found"
those variables to be the most important among all the causes. We
will need to look elsewhere to explain why different policies select
the particular causes that they do.
True, decision-makers dislike hearing that the problems concerning
them (or, if they are politicians, their constituents) have countless
causative factors whose relative effectivity cannot be ranked. They
wish to be capable of "solving" economic problems. So they press and
pay economists to produce policies that promise solutions if just
this or that (or those) key cause(s) is (are) adjusted. If the
problem fades after such adjustment, they take credit. If the problem
persists or worsens, they blame economists. In their defense, the
economists point to "unusual" or "exogenous" factors that "caused"
the failure in a policy that is otherwise - in "normal circumstances"
- effective. Policy economists then argue among themselves over which
economist's key causes are "the most effective" and so ought to be
central to proposed policies. Decision-makers may well choose a
different policy from that which failed and resume the entire
exercise. Indeed, there may be oscillations among a set of policies
as decision-makers cycle through them when economic problems elude
solutions. This has long been the reality of government economic
policy in much of the modern world.
Thus, for example, interest rates and federal budget surpluses have
been widely claimed as key causes of the US economic decline since
early 2000. Correspondingly, lowering interest rates and moving
federal budgets toward deficits became appropriate policies. Those
policies would increase consumer spending and business investment,
solving the problem by turning economic decline into growth. Yet,
there could be no assurance whatsoever that all the other operative
causes of economic decline might not overwhelm or negate the impact
of these policies. Indeed, historically unprecedented interest rate
reductions by the Federal Reserve over the last two years and Bush's
tax cuts failed to reverse the decline. Had they "worked", however,
the logical problem remains. There would be no way to know whether
the policies pursued or countless other causes had reversed the
decline. While the economists debate which is the right policy to
pursue, the deeper problem lies with policy per se.
The Importance of Policy
Having shown how policy depends on unreasonable presumptions about
key causes, it remains to explain the actual importance of policy.
Many people want and support policies as solutions to pressing
problems. Responsible decision-makers demand and rely on specific
policies. Trained specialists produce, refine, and debate appropriate
policies. The evident contradiction - policy as theoretically absurd
and policy as important practically - needs to be acknowledged and
accounted for.
Returning to the example of recent American economic decline
illustrates policy's practical importance. Rising rates of
unemployment, personal bankruptcy, and reduced public services strike
many as urgent problems requiring solutions. Because the decline
coincides with the Bush presidency, it poses a problem for his 2004
re-election campaign. He demands a policy to solve the problem of
economic decline as do stock market players and businesses facing
continuing losses, states confronting huge budget deficits, and so
on. They all demand "policies." The mass media feature experts in
economic policy proposing, challenging, and debating alternative
remedies. No doubt something socially important is going on.
What makes any policy important, however, is not the solution it
promises because, as argued in Part I above, that promise is empty.
Because each policy focuses on merely one or a few of the vast array
of any problem's causes (ignoring all the others), its effectivity is
utterly contingent and unpredictable. Previous declines in the US
show a simple truth about all policies to reverse them: sometimes
they work and sometimes they fail.
The clue to unraveling what makes policy practically important lies
in what differentiates policies. Each policy focuses upon a different
few of the innumerable causes of a targeted problem. For one policy,
the key is interest rates and business investment; for another it is
government budgets and aggregate demand; and for still another, it is
currency exchange rates.
Each policy focuses the attention, discourse, and actions of a public
concerned with a problem. It focuses them precisely upon the
particular subset of the causes selected by that policy. Thus, Fed
policies on interest rates and Bush policy on budget deficits become
ways to shape and control how Americans think about a problem such as
economic downturn. To make the point more sharply, virtually
exclusive public discussion about interest-rate and budget deficit
policies keep people from thinking about other causes of decline.
For example, no significant public discourse focuses on how the
capitalist class structure of business enterprise contributes to the
current economic decline. This is because no policy aimed at class
change is permitted entry into public discourse. Similarly, only a
tiny, marginalised public discourse links Washington's particular
anti-terrorism program to that decline. Once again, no policy aimed
at changing Bush's anti-terrorism program obtains a place among the
hegemonic set of "policies" debated in the overlapping spheres of
government, business, media, and academy.
Policies "work" by selecting particular causes of any targeted
problem, focusing exclusively upon them, and thereby moving other
causes to the edges or altogether out of consideration. The currently
hegemonic set of debatable policies for reversing US economic decline
excludes policies focused on class and anti-terrorism. There is no
logical reason for this exclusion. No analysis exists or could exist
to prove that all possible causes of economic decline other than
interest rates, state budgets, business and consumer spending are
negligible.
There are ideological and political reasons for the exclusions worked
by all policies. A public excluded from knowledge of, let alone
debates over, class-focused policies will not likely think about
changing class structures to reverse an economic decline. That is the
point. A public concerned about decline may be nicely controlled by
limiting debate about its causes and remedies to the current
"appropriate policy alternatives". One way to preclude social
movements from dealing with economic decline by challenging the
capitalist class structure of the US is to keep public discourse
about policies focused on causes other than class.
The great practical importance of policy is to shape events by
restricting the public discourse about what steps are appropriate to
deal with problems. That is why, despite the fact that particular
policies - e.g., reducing interest rates to reverse economic declines
- "fail" as often as they "succeed", they remain dominant policies
across repeated economic declines. People thinking about interest
rates are not thinking about class transformation. If interest rate
reductions fall out of favor, then perhaps a policy shift to tax
cuts, or currency manipulations will occur. In all such cases, these
policy tools keep people from thinking about class transformation.
Policies police the public understanding and response to social
problems.
It is thus important to establish, maintain, and give wide exposure
to the small "policy community" of political and business leaders and
their paid experts inside and outside the academy. Distant from
people's daily lives, its expertise heavily promoted, this community
invents and debates its carefully restricted set of policies. It
keeps ready alternative policies for those deemed to have failed. It
makes sure that policies allowed into the orbit of discussion exclude
social structures of wealth, power, and class as causes of social
suffering. This exclusion operates by silence whenever possible. When
silence is insufficient, exclusion is achieved by denouncing the
nwanted policies' flawed basis, ineffectivity and/or ulterior
political motives.
The US policy community functions well these days. Economic decline
will not likely provoke policies that challenge the class structure.
The now hegemonic set of policies will likely see American society
through yet another of its endemic cycles of instability and mass
suffering. When the upturn arrives, it can and will be credited to
one or another within the hegemonic set of policies. Why not?
Policy and Radical Critics
Economic policies have little relevance to actual solutions. Policies
are relevant to controlling how people think about and act on
problems. That control function emerges from the limits on what is
considered as policy, limits accepted and enforced by the "experts".
Excluding consideration, let alone debate, of alternative policies
(outside the limits) reinforces the social status quo, especially its
class structure.
What enables this exclusion to persist, even when challenged by
supporters of the excluded policies? It is hardly the mediocre
success rate achieved by official policies (witness the failures of
monetary and fiscal policies to reverse declines in Japan, Western
Europe and the US in recent years). What most sustains the limits and
exclusions operated by the hegemonic policy community is one central
claim, namely to have "found" those very few "key" causes (within the
infinity of those that contribute to the targeted problem) that alone
define and delimit "appropriate" policy. Before radical critics -
those interested in basic social (including class) change - can
obtain a hearing, they must deconstruct and persuasively undermine
that central claim.
Radical critics can do more and better than to design and propose
policies likely to be ignored or dismissed. Nor need they succumb to
the policy community's definitions of what counts as "realistic"
policy, since that amounts to accepting the very limits against which
their radicalism otherwise struggles. Radicals might best begin by
criticizing the entire enterprise of "policy solutions," exposing its
logical absurdity and the partisan ideological and political ends
served by the currently hegemonic set of policies and policy-makers.
Economic problems confront all economists with danger and/or
opportunity. An economist's social agenda (e.g., status quo versus
radical class transformation) may be endangered (compromised or
defeated) by how the problem is understood and acted upon.
Opportunity lies in the possibility that the problem will be
understood and treated in a manner advancing the social agenda of the
economist. Advocating particular policies as "solutions" for problems
is a way to advance a particular social agenda. The claim that
particular policies actually "solve" the problems is a ruse or
disguise for - a displacement of - what are actually promotions of
particular social agendas. Policies promote their proponents' social
agendas by controlling how people understand and respond to social
problems that arise. If radicals successfully undermine the absurd
claim that a policy is "the solution," they could level the policy
debate playing field. Instead of disputes among carefully limited
policy options whose "found appropriateness" excludes radical
policies, policy debates would become explicitly recognized contests
among alternative social agendas and their correspondingly differing
ways of understanding and reacting to social problems.
To show that there is no such thing as the "right" policy, but only a
ceaseless contestation among alternative social agendas is the best
strategy for opening present and future policy debates. It may also
be the best strategy for drawing many more people into discussion of
and decision on social issues. Instead of an elite of credentialed
"experts" versed in an increasingly arcane and distant terrain of
"appropriate policy mechanisms," we might expect a return to genuine
participation. Alternative social agendas and visions - if and when
people understand that they lie behind the ruse of policy - might
return to become the stuff of a democratic politics.
Note: I wish to thank Max Fraad-Wolff for valuable comments on an
earlier draft.
______________________________
SUGGESTED CITATION:
Richard D. Wolff, "The Critique of Economic Policy", post-autistic
economics review, issue no. 22, 24 November 2003, article 4,
<http://www.btinternet.com/~pae_news/review/issue22.htm>http://www.btinternet.com/~pae_news/review/issue22.htm
Neo-Classical Economics Is Not "Neo", But "Anti"-Classical
Kepa M. Ormazabal (University of the Basque Country, Spain)
The "Neo" in the expression "Neo-Classical Economics" suggests that
today's prevailing economics, the one that has become "autistic", is
a continuation or a new edition of Classical Economics. I do not know
when or why this terminology was originated, but, wherever or however
it was, it is seriously misleading. Far from being a continuation of
Classical Economics, current "Neo-Classical" Economics is, in its
fundamental features, definitely "Anti-Classical". It represents not
a continuation, but a radical break with Classical Economics. And not
exactly for the best, as I am going to argue.
What is Classical Economics? To cut a long story short, let me take
Ricardo as the representative of Classical Economics.
It is well known that the conception of value in exchange as labor
lies at the heart of Ricardian Economics. It is true that Ricardo
found serious problems in establishing the connection between value
and labor, but this was the basis upon which he purported to explain
the workings of a capitalistic economy. Ricardo had taken the idea
from Smith, who had the same project and who, also, found problems to
bring it to fruition. For both economists, the ultimate goal is to
account for profit. Profit is the name of the game in Classical
Economics, simply because it is understood to be the name of the game
in a capitalistic economy. The question about exchange value is
raised because there is a previous question about the nature of
profit: what has to be explained is profit, but profit is some kind
of surplus value. Not surplus value in use, but surplus value in
exchange. If we want to understand profit, Smith and Ricardo say, we
must start by understanding what value in exchange is, and, on this
basis, we will be able to understand what profit, surplus exchange
value, is.
The "Neo-Classical" approach to value, on the contrary, starts from
exchange, not from profit. "Neo-Classical" Economics starts from the
analysis of the concept of exchange, that is, of exchange as such.
While Classical Economics focuses on surplus exchange value,
"Neo-Classical" Economics focuses on exchange value. From this
starting point, it arrives at the hardly surprising conclusion that,
from the standpoint of pure exchange, the notion of surplus exchange
value is irrational, a contradiction in terms. Hence the shocking
"Neo-Classical" thesis that competition annihilates profit. What this
thesis actually means is that exchange as such excludes logically the
idea of surplus exchange value. Despite the wording, the thesis does
not speak of competition and profit, but of exchange and surplus
exchange value
It is typical of "Neo-Classical" Economics to surreptitiously
identify the concepts of exchange and competition. This can be seen
in "Neo-Classical" microeconomics textbooks; the chapters on
externalities and related themes provide good examples of this
confusion. For instance, we are told, first, that an exchange of
money for the right to smoke among smokers and non-smokers may be
Pareto-optimum. Next, we are told that it has been shown that the
competitive solution is Pareto-optimum, that the outcome of a
competitive market for smoking has been shown to be Pareto-optimum.
The underlying idea is that a perfectly competitive capitalist
economy does not differ in its essentials from a barter economy in
which the improvement of utility (and not the endless accumulation of
exchange value) is the end of exchange. Competition, when it is
perfect, annihilates profit and, thus, annihilates surplus exchange
value. What remains is exchange value as a temporary means to use
value, so that a truly competitive capitalistic economy becomes, in
the end, a barter economy in which the very notion of profit is
totally out of place.
While the focus of Classical Economics is to bring to light the
nature of surplus exchange value, "Neo-Classical" Economics starts
from the basis that there is no such thing as surplus exchange value.
That this is best seen under perfect competition does not imply that
monopoly power gives rise to any surplus value. On the contrary, it
is a standard thesis in "Neo-Classical" Economics that monopoly
power, far from giving rise to any surplus exchange value, gives rise
to a redistribution of an already existing exchange value to the
monopolist, at the expense of those who pay for the monopolized
commodity a price higher than its value. Accordingly, monopoly profit
does not represent any surplus value, but a transfer in which one
party gains what the other party loses. Moreover; in the end, all
lose, because monopoly implies a deadweight loss which is a burden
for the economy as a whole. In the end, no matter whether competition
or monopoly prevail, "Neo-Classical Economics" sees, rightly, that
the analysis of exchange as such excludes the notion of surplus
exchange value. From this truth, it concludes that surplus value in
exchange is irrational and, therefore, that it does not exist, that
profit is appearance of surplus value without reality.
In Classical Economics, on the contrary, the end of exchange, (and of
production, which forms a unity with exchange) is not the improvement
of utility, but the transformation of commodities into money for the
sake of profit, that is, the accumulation of wealth in the shape of
exchange value, money, for the sake of accumulation itself. For the
Classical tradition, the concept of price is only indirectly related
to utility, and it is primarily related to profit; in other words:
price is not a means to improve utility, but a means to surplus
value, to the accumulation of capital for its own sake.
The "Neo-Classical" contention that competition annihilates profit
amounts to saying that the notion of price as derived from the
analysis of exchange as such is the only notion of price that makes
sense in economic analysis. This view is decidedly at odds with
reality, the observation of which shows that the name of the game in
the economic system in which we live is profit and the growth of
capital. Confronted with this conflict, does "Neo-Classical"
Economics conclude that something is wrong with its theoretical
conceptions? Surprisingly enough, it does not; it chooses, instead,
to put the blame on abstraction. Science requires abstraction, says
the standard "Neo-Classical" apology, but abstraction, sadly,
involves leaving aside real properties, and, in the end, a loss in
realism. "Neo-Classical" Economics, we are told, is a very scientific
endeavor, which implies that it flies high and, therefore, that it is
"highly abstract". The seeming disagreement between theory and
reality does not show that the theory is false, but that it is
abstract.
As we all know, abstraction is an operation of thought; where there
is abstraction, there is thought. But where there is thought, there
is knowledge. Being an operation of thought, abstraction is,
therefore, a mode of knowledge, that is, an operation of thought
whereby we get to know something about reality, something that
empirical observation does not reveal to us. The "Neo-Classical" view
that abstraction involves, in the end, a loss in realism implies that
abstraction involves a loss in knowledge and, in the end, that
abstraction is a mode of non-knowledge. In my opinion, this is a
mistaken notion of abstraction that leads to the paradoxical view
that abstraction is not an operation of thought whereby we know
something real about reality, but an operation whereby we ignore
something real about reality. Abstraction separates us from reality,
instead of getting us closer to it. Autism?
Looked at from Classical Economics, the problem with the
"Neo-Classical" conceptions of value and profit is not that they are
"highly abstract", but to the contrary, namely, that they are "lowly
abstract", which is why they lead us to deny the evidence.
"Neo-Classical" Economics makes things still worse by trying to make
up for its lack of abstraction by focusing on the formality of the
quantitative relationships among economic phenomena. These, truly,
are real determinations of economic reality, but accidental
determinations. It is a significant fact that the separation between
theory and reality has steadily increased as the so-called
Mathematical Economics has grown. Mathematics, far from being an aid
to shed light and to promote rigor and scientific dialogue, has sunk
economics into schizophrenia and scholasticism. The last culprit in
this sad story is the old noble science of mathematics; the villain
is the lack of theoretical abstraction that disguises its weakness
under the cloak of the formal language of mathematics.
In Classical Economics, "high abstraction" does not lead to the
employment of the term "competition" as equivalent to "exchange", or
to saying that, in developed capitalistic economies, profit is
annihilated. A competitive economy is not one in which surplus value
has been annihilated. Competition is not the process whereby profit
(surplus value) is annihilated, but the process whereby profit is
uniformly distributed among the capitals of the economy, so that the
profit rate is the same for any capital investment. This is the
Ricardian conception of competition. Ricardo never thought that
competition annihilated profit, and never claimed that his theories
were at variance with facts in so far as they were highly abstract.
This is not to mean, in any way, that economics has ended with
Ricardo, but all the contrary.
More perhaps than in other times in its history, economics today
needs a fresh framework to understand the economic problems of our
age, some of which are very pressing and of decisive relevance for
our lives. Let us begin our search for such a new framework by not
confusing the Classical tradition, in which we may find a lot to
learn, with the "Anti", not "Neo"-Classical tradition that has led
economics to its current state of stagnation.
______________________________
SUGGESTED CITATION:
Kepa M. Ormazabal, "Neo-Classical Economics Is Not "Neo", But
"Anti"-Classical", post-autistic economics review, issue no. 22, 24
November 2003, article 5,
<http://www.btinternet.com/~pae_news/review/issue22.htm>http://www.btinternet.com/~pae_news/review/issue22.htm
Joan Robinson and the Post-Autistic Economics Movement
Antonio Garrido (Madrid, Spain)
This is Joan Robinson's centenary year. She died in 1983 after more
than 50 years of providing relevant, original and significant
contributions to economic theory. As is well-known, unlike many less
outstanding economists, she never won the Nobel Prize or a peerage.
(I suspect that she would have declined them both.) These are facts
explained by extra-curricular matters: being a woman, lucid, radical,
nonconformist and dedicating most of her writing to unveiling the
fallacies of orthodoxy (from liberal to Marxist). This is a
difficult mixture for the establishment to digest and a good reason
why we should read her works today. Such a reading reveals how much
Joan Robinson anticipated and developed the analysis that nourishes
the now mushrooming global challenge in economics to the neoclassical
tyranny. Her thoughts are echoed not only in the petitions of the
students of Paris and the two Cambridges, but also in the articles of
many distinguished contributors to this journal. Here are a few
examples of her PAE thoughts.
1. The purpose of studying economics is not to acquire a set of
ready made answers to economic questions, but to avoid being deceived
by economists. (1951-1980, vol. II, p. 17)
2. It is often said that one theory can be driven out only by
another; the neoclassicals have a complete theory (thought I maintain
that it is nothing but a circular argument) and we need a better
theory to supplant them. I do not agree. I think any other "complete
theory" would be only another box of tricks. What we need is a
different habit of mind - to eschew fudging, to respect facts and to
admit ignorance of what we do not know. (1951-1980, vol. V, p. 119)
3. The victory of Keynes' theory over the orthodoxy of sound
finance was not due to his superior logic but to the pressure of the
events in the world. Perhaps we shall finally owe the defeat of
neoclassical complacency to the public indignation at the devastating
accidents which highly profitable technology is always bringing
about. (1980, p. 119)
4. Economic reasoning alone cannot offer a solution for any
economic problem, for all involve political, social and human
considerations that can not be reduced to "the lore of nicely
calculated less and more". The object to an introduction to analysis
should be, not to propound solutions, but to suggest to the reader
what he must take into account in trying to make up his own mind
about the issues presented to him by the age in which he lives.
(1973, p. 293)
5. I believe, however, that there is a lot of difference
between good analysis and bad, apart from ideological tendences.
Logic is the same for every one (though I could never get Professor
Samuelson to admit it) and the reading of evidence, though always
biassed to some extent, can be more or less faire...........Honesty
and hard work are required of radicals, while the orthodox can doze
over their dogmas. (1951-1980, vol. V, p. 118-119)
6. The professional economist keeps up a smoke screen of
"theorems", and "laws" and "pay-offs" that prevent questions such as
that (why the USA keeps an appreciable proportion of its population
in perpetual ignorance and misery) from being asked . This situation
is, I think, inevitable. In every country, educated institutions in
general, and universities in particular, are supported directly or
indirectly by the established authorities and whether in Chicago or
in Moscow, their first duty is to save their pupils from contact with
dangerous thoughts. (1951-1980, vol. V, p. 98)
7. The task of deciding how resources should be allocated is
not fulfilled by the market but by the great corporations who are in
charge of the finance for development.These questions involve the
whole political and social system of the capitalist world; theycan
not be decided by economic theory, but it would be decent, at least,
if the economists admitted that they do not have an answer to them.
(1951-1980, vol. V, p. 30-31)
8. Private enterprise is wonderfully flexible in jumping from
one profitable market to another, but is very rigid in resistance to
social control. . . . There is no point in thinking of what we really
want, such as abolishing poverty and restoring peace. All we can ask
for is what they choose to give us. We must keep the show going or
else they won't give us anything at all. (1951-198, vol. V, p. 129)
9. The student of economic theory is taught to write O= f(L,C)
where L is a quantity of labour, C a quantity of capital and O a rate
of output of commodities. He is instructed to assume all workers
alike, and to measure L in man-hours of labour; he is told something
about the index-number problem involved in choosing a unit of output;
and then he is hurried up to the next question, in the hope that he
will forget to ask in what units C is measured. Before ever he does
ask, he has become a professor, and so sloppy habits of thought are
handed on from one generation to the next. (1978, p. 76)
10 A generation well educated, resistant to fudging, imbued
with the humility and the pride of a genuine scientist could make
contributions both to knowledge and to the conduct of affairs that no
one need be ashamed of. (1951-1980, vol. III, p. 6).
"He who is convinced against his will
Is of the same opinion still". (1978, p. 125)
References: Works by Joan Robinson
Collected Economic Papers, six volumes. Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT
Press, 1951-1980.
(with John Eatwell) An Introduction to Modern Economics. New York:
McGraw Hill, 1973.
Contributions of Modern Economics. Oxford: Blackwell, 1978.
Further Contributions of Modern Economics. :Oxford: Blackwell, 1980
______________________________
SUGGESTED CITATION:
Antonio Garrido, "John Robinson and the Post-Autistic Economics
Movement", post-autistic economics review, issue no. 22, 24 November
2003, article 6,
<http://www.btinternet.com/~pae_news/review/issue22.htm>http://www.btinternet.com/~pae_news/review/issue22.htm
____________________________________________________________________________________________
EDITOR: Edward Fullbrook
CORRESPONDENTS: Argentina: Iserino; Australia: Joseph Halevi, Steve
Keen: Brazil: Wagner Leal Arienti; France: Gilles Raveaud, Olivier
Vaury, J. Walter Plinge; Germany: Helge Peukert; Greece: Yanis
Varoufakis; Japan: Susumu Takenaga; United Kingdom: Nitasha Kaul;
United States: Benjamin Balak, Daniel Lien, Paul Surlis: At large:
Paddy Quick
PAST CONTRIBUTORS: James Galbraith, Frank Ackerman, Andri Orlian,
Hugh Stretton, Jacques Sapir, Edward Fullbrook, Gilles Raveaud,
Deirdre McCloskey, Tony Lawson, Geoff Harcourt, Joseph Halevi, Sheila
C. Dow, Kurt Jacobsen, The Cambridge 27, Paul Ormerod, Steve Keen,
Grazia Ietto-Gillies, Emmanuelle Benicourt, Le Movement
Autisme-Economie, Geoffrey Hodgson, Ben Fine, Michael A. Bernstein,
Julie A. Nelson, Jeff Gates, Anne Mayhew, Bruce Edmonds, Jason Potts,
John Nightingale, Alan Shipman, Peter E. Earl, Marc Lavoie, Jean
Gadrey, Peter Svderbaum, Bernard Guerrien, Susan Feiner, Warren J.
Samuels, Katalin Martinas, George M. Frankfurter, Elton G. McGoun,
Yanis Varoufakis, Alex Millmow, Bruce J. Caldwell, Poul Thxis Madsen,
Helge Peukert, Dietmar Lindenberger, Reiner K|mmel, Jane King, Peter
Dorman, K.M.P. Williams, Frank Rotering, Ha-Joon Chang, Claude
Mouchot, Robert E. Lane, James G. Devine, Richard Wolff, Jamie
Morgan, Robert Heilbroner, William Milberg, Stephen T. Ziliak, Steve
Fleetwood, Tony Aspromourgos, Yves Gingras, Ingrid Robeyns, Robert
Scott Gassler, Grischa Periono, Esther-Mirjam Sent, Ana Maria
Bianchi, Steve Cohn, Peter Wynarczyk, Daniel Gay, Asatar Bair,
Nathaniel Chamberland, James Bondio, Jared Ferrie, Goutam U. Jois,
Charles K. Wilber, Robert Costanza, Saski Sivramkrishna, Jorge
Buzaglo, Jim Stanford. Matthew McCartney
________________________________________________________________________________
Articles, comments on and proposals for should be sent to the editor
at <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>[EMAIL PROTECTED]
_____________________________________________________________________________________________
Subscriptions to this email journal are free.
Subscribe a colleague(s) to this journal by sending their email
address to <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Or forward this issue to them.
Back issues of this journal and other material related to the pae
movement are available at
<http://www.paecon.net>www.paecon.net.<http://www.paecon.net>
To subscribe to this journal, send an email with the message
"subscribe" to <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>[EMAIL PROTECTED]
To unsubscribe to this journal, send an email with the message
"unsubscribe" to
<mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>[EMAIL PROTECTED]
------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor ---------------------~-->
Buy Ink Cartridges or Refill Kits for your HP, Epson, Canon or Lexmark
Printer at MyInks.com. Free s/h on orders $50 or more to the US & Canada.
http://www.c1tracking.com/l.asp?cid=5511
http://us.click.yahoo.com/mOAaAA/3exGAA/qnsNAA/NJYolB/TM
---------------------------------------------------------------------~->
To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
| <-- __Chronological__ --> | <-- __Thread__ --> |