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Re: 1teraflops cell processor possible?



Robert Myers wrote:

<snip>
2. Infectious diseases arise as if out of nowhere and because of
modern transportation girdle the globe in a matter of days.  It is
astonishing that HIV hasn't transformed itself into something more
durable, virulent and deadly because of the frequency with which it
mutates and reproduces itself.  It seems as if the SARS epidemic was
an exceedingly close call.

There's a relationship between how fast a disease develops and how far it propagates: The slower the development the further it spreads before it is detected.


SARS is a good example of this. Symptoms develops quickly and people are put in quaranteen. Heck even the chinese could manage to get SARS under control. So the fear for a flu-like HIV killer is, IMHO, an overreaction (at least from a global health point of view). Another example is ebola, spreads pretty much on touch (body fluids though) and kills quickly -> carriers get wiped out quickly.

HIV is pretty much as bad as it gets. The combination of a long (years) incubation period, combined with the fact that it is infectious very soon after infection allows it to spread wide. The only thing that compares is the plague which incidentally had a similar pattern (although the timescales are much smaller).

Martin





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